PGI GL (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    860503 -- Ireland Fund  

    USD 20.49  0.00  0.00%

    PGI GL probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of PGI GL EQ USD I AC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify PGI GL time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like PGI GL odds to be computed. Check also Trending Equities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
    Symbol:
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    PGI GL Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     20.49 30 days 20.49  ABOUT 20.81%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of PGI GL to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 20.81% (This PGI GL EQ USD I AC probability density function shows the probability of PGI GL Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, PGI GL has beta of 0.0 . This suggests unless we do not have required data, the returns on DOW and PGI GL are completely uncorrelated. Additionally PGI GL EQ USD I ACIt does not look like PGI GL alpha can have any bearing on the equity current valuation.
     PGI GL Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.00
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.00
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =10.31
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.00

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    PGI GL EQ is not yet fully synchronised with the market data

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