Accunia Invest (Denmark) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 983.50

ACACIGDKK  DKK 983.50  7.90  0.80%   
Accunia Invest's future price is the expected price of Accunia Invest instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Accunia Invest EUR performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Accunia Invest Backtesting, Accunia Invest Valuation, Accunia Invest Correlation, Accunia Invest Hype Analysis, Accunia Invest Volatility, Accunia Invest History as well as Accunia Invest Performance.
  
Please specify Accunia Invest's target price for which you would like Accunia Invest odds to be computed.

Accunia Invest Target Price Odds to finish over 983.50

The tendency of Accunia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 983.50 90 days 983.50 
about 12.97
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Accunia Invest to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 12.97 (This Accunia Invest EUR probability density function shows the probability of Accunia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Accunia Invest EUR has a beta of -0.0698. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Accunia Invest are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Accunia Invest EUR is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Accunia Invest EUR has an alpha of 0.0427, implying that it can generate a 0.0427 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Accunia Invest Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Accunia Invest

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Accunia Invest EUR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Accunia Invest's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
983.02983.50983.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
880.76881.241,082
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
983.17983.65984.14
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
975.92983.98992.04
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Accunia Invest. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Accunia Invest's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Accunia Invest's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Accunia Invest EUR.

Accunia Invest Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Accunia Invest is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Accunia Invest's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Accunia Invest EUR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Accunia Invest within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.04
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.07
σ
Overall volatility
7.43
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Accunia Invest Technical Analysis

Accunia Invest's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Accunia Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Accunia Invest EUR. In general, you should focus on analyzing Accunia Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Accunia Invest Predictive Forecast Models

Accunia Invest's time-series forecasting models is one of many Accunia Invest's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Accunia Invest's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Accunia Invest in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Accunia Invest's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Accunia Invest options trading.
Check out Accunia Invest Backtesting, Accunia Invest Valuation, Accunia Invest Correlation, Accunia Invest Hype Analysis, Accunia Invest Volatility, Accunia Invest History as well as Accunia Invest Performance.
You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.

Complementary Tools for Accunia Stock analysis

When running Accunia Invest's price analysis, check to measure Accunia Invest's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Accunia Invest is operating at the current time. Most of Accunia Invest's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Accunia Invest's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Accunia Invest's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Accunia Invest to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Accunia Invest's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Accunia Invest is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Accunia Invest's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.