Akasha Wira (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1070.0
| ADES Stock | IDR 9,100 25.00 0.28% |
Akasha |
Akasha Wira Target Price Odds to finish below 1070.0
The tendency of Akasha Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 1,070 or more in 90 days |
| 9,100 | 90 days | 1,070 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Akasha Wira to drop to 1,070 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Akasha Wira International probability density function shows the probability of Akasha Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Akasha Wira International price to stay between 1,070 and its current price of 9100.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.51 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Akasha Wira has a beta of 0.0793. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Akasha Wira average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Akasha Wira International will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Akasha Wira International has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Akasha Wira Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Akasha Wira
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Akasha Wira International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Akasha Wira's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Akasha Wira Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Akasha Wira is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Akasha Wira's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Akasha Wira International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Akasha Wira within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 501.83 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Akasha Wira Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Akasha Wira for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Akasha Wira International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Akasha Wira generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 92.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Akasha Wira Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Akasha Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Akasha Wira's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Akasha Wira's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 589.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 390.2 B |
Akasha Wira Technical Analysis
Akasha Wira's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Akasha Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Akasha Wira International. In general, you should focus on analyzing Akasha Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Akasha Wira Predictive Forecast Models
Akasha Wira's time-series forecasting models is one of many Akasha Wira's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Akasha Wira's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Akasha Wira International
Checking the ongoing alerts about Akasha Wira for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Akasha Wira International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Akasha Wira generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 92.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Akasha Wira Backtesting, Akasha Wira Valuation, Akasha Wira Correlation, Akasha Wira Hype Analysis, Akasha Wira Volatility, Akasha Wira History as well as Akasha Wira Performance. You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
Complementary Tools for Akasha Stock analysis
When running Akasha Wira's price analysis, check to measure Akasha Wira's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Akasha Wira is operating at the current time. Most of Akasha Wira's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Akasha Wira's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Akasha Wira's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Akasha Wira to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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