Africa Israel (Israel) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

AFIL -- Israel Stock  

ILS 14.70  0.10  0.68%

Africa Israel probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Africa Israel Investments Ltd performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Africa Israel time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Africa Israel odds to be computed. Check also Africa Israel Backtesting, Africa Israel Valuation, Africa Israel Correlation, Africa Israel Hype Analysis, Africa Israel Volatility, Africa Israel History as well as Africa Israel Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Africa Israel Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 14.70 30 days 14.70  ABOUT 63.36%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Africa Israel to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 63.36% (This Africa Israel Investments Ltd probability density function shows the probability of Africa Israel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Africa Israel Investments Ltd has beta of -0.0042 . This suggests as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Africa Israel are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Africa Israel Investments Ltd is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Africa Israel Investments Ltd has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
 Africa Israel Price Density 
 
      
Current Price   Target Price   
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.26
β
Beta against DOW=0.0042
σ
Overall volatility
=0.65
Ir
Information ratio =0.02

Africa Israel Alerts

Africa Israel Alerts and Suggestions

Africa Israel Invest has very high historical volatility over the last 30 days
Africa Israel Invest has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Africa Israel Invest has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company has accumulated 10.3 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 672.9 indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Africa Israel Investments Ltd has Current Ratio of 0.58 indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due.
This company reported revenue of 5.75 B. Net Loss for the year was (106.33 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 720.24 M.
AFR-ISRAEL INVEST has accumulated about 1.65 B in cash with (216.25 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 8.02.
Check also Africa Israel Backtesting, Africa Israel Valuation, Africa Israel Correlation, Africa Israel Hype Analysis, Africa Israel Volatility, Africa Israel History as well as Africa Israel Performance. Please also try Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
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