Africa Israel (Israel) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    AFRE -- Israel Stock  

    ILS 6,612  378.00  5.41%

    Africa Israel probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Africa Israel Residences Ltd performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Africa Israel time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Africa Israel odds to be computed. Check also Trending Equities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Africa Israel Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     6,612 30 days 6,612  ABOUT 13.67%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Africa Israel to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 13.67% (This Africa Israel Residences Ltd probability density function shows the probability of Africa Israel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Africa Israel has beta of 0.3457 . This suggests as returns on market go up, Africa Israel average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Africa Israel Residences Ltd will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.2744 implying that it can potentially generate 0.2744% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     Africa Israel Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.27
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.35
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =568.69
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.07

    Africa Israel Alerts and Suggestions

    Africa Israel is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    Africa Israel generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
    Africa Israel has high historical volatility and very poor performance
    Africa Israel has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
    Africa Israel has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations

    Africa IsraelPrice Density Drivers

    Trailing Annual Dividend Rate3.95
    Float Shares2.78M
    Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day30.77k
    Average Daily Volume In Three Month8.33k
    Trailing Annual Dividend Yield0.06%
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