AHLUWALIA Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

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AHLUCONT -- India Stock  

INR 168.00  4.10  2.50%

AHLUWALIA CONTRACTS probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of AHLUWALIA CONTRACTS LT performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

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Please specify AHLUWALIA CONTRACTS time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like AHLUWALIA CONTRACTS odds to be computed. Please continue to AHLUWALIA CONTRACTS Backtesting, AHLUWALIA CONTRACTS Valuation, AHLUWALIA CONTRACTS Correlation, AHLUWALIA CONTRACTS Hype Analysis, AHLUWALIA CONTRACTS Volatility, AHLUWALIA CONTRACTS History as well as AHLUWALIA CONTRACTS Performance.
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AHLUWALIA CONTRACTS Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 168.00 30 days 168.00 
about 80.16
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of AHLUWALIA CONTRACTS to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 80.16 (This AHLUWALIA CONTRACTS LT probability density function shows the probability of AHLUWALIA CONTRACTS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, AHLUWALIA CONTRACTS has beta of 0.0342 . This suggests as returns on market go up, AHLUWALIA CONTRACTS average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding AHLUWALIA CONTRACTS LT will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. AHLUWALIA CONTRACTS is significantly underperforming DOW.
 AHLUWALIA CONTRACTS Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=-0.79
β
Beta against DOW=0.0342
σ
Overall volatility
=75.20
Ir
Information ratio =-0.16

AHLUWALIA CONTRACTS Alerts and Suggestions

AHLUWALIA CONTRACTS generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
AHLUWALIA CONTRACTS has high historical volatility and very poor performance

AHLUWALIA CONTRACTSPrice Density Drivers

Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.30
Float Shares21.46M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day84
Average Daily Volume In Three Month582
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield0.17%
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