AHLUWALIA Probability of Target Price Finishing Above 151.20

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AHLUCONT -- India Stock  

INR 210.85  1.10  0.52%

AHLUWALIA CONTRACTS probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of AHLUWALIA CONTRACTS LT performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

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AHLUWALIA CONTRACTS Target Price Odds to finish below 151.20

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  151.20  or more in 30 days
 210.85 30 days 151.20 
about 10.54
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AHLUWALIA CONTRACTS to drop to  151.20  or more in 30 days from now is about 10.54 (This AHLUWALIA CONTRACTS LT probability density function shows the probability of AHLUWALIA CONTRACTS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of AHLUWALIA CONTRACTS price to stay between  151.20  and its current price of 210.85 at the end of the 30-day period is about 69.19 .
Assuming the 30 trading days horizon, AHLUWALIA CONTRACTS LT has a beta of -0.1661. This suggests as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding AHLUWALIA CONTRACTS are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, AHLUWALIA CONTRACTS LT is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. AHLUWALIA CONTRACTS is significantly underperforming DOW.
Alpha over DOW
Beta against DOW=-0.17
Overall volatility
Information ratio =-0.08

AHLUWALIA CONTRACTS Alerts and Suggestions

AHLUWALIA CONTRACTS appears to be very risky and stock price may revert if volatility continues
About 58.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders


Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.30
Float Shares21.46M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day5k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.06k
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield0.15%
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