A Infrastructure (India) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

AINFRA -- India Stock  

INR 26.35  2.40  10.02%

A Infrastructure probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of A Infrastructure Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify A Infrastructure time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like A Infrastructure odds to be computed. Check also A Infrastructure Backtesting, A Infrastructure Valuation, A Infrastructure Correlation, A Infrastructure Hype Analysis, A Infrastructure Volatility, A Infrastructure History as well as A Infrastructure Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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A Infrastructure Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 26.35 30 days 26.35  ABOUT 1.07%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of A Infrastructure to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 1.07% (This A Infrastructure Limited probability density function shows the probability of A Infrastructure Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, A Infrastructure has beta of 0.9927 . This suggests A Infrastructure Limited market returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market benchmark goes up or down, A Infrastructure is expected to follow. Moreover A Infrastructure Limited has an alpha of 1.6577 implying that it can potentially generate 1.6577% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 A Infrastructure Price Density 
 
      
Current Price   Target Price   
α
Alpha over DOW
=1.66
β
Beta against DOW=0.99
σ
Overall volatility
=2.60
Ir
Information ratio =0.39

A Infrastructure Alerts

A Infrastructure Alerts and Suggestions

A Infrastructure appears to be very risky and stock price may revert if volatility continues
A Infrastructure has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
On August 13, 2018 A Infrastructure paid 0.1 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from globenewswire.com: Delek US Announces 100 million Share Repurchase Plan for Third Quarter 2018

Price Density Drivers

A Infrastructure Health Indicators

Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.10
Float Shares1.5M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day1k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month391
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield0.51%
Check also A Infrastructure Backtesting, A Infrastructure Valuation, A Infrastructure Correlation, A Infrastructure Hype Analysis, A Infrastructure Volatility, A Infrastructure History as well as A Infrastructure Performance. Please also try Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
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