Allium Medical (Israel) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

ALMD -- Israel Stock  

ILS 69.60  1.60  2.35%

Allium Medical probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Allium Medical Solutions Ltd performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Allium Medical time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Allium Medical odds to be computed. Check also Trending Equities.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Allium Medical Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 69.60 30 days 69.60  ABOUT 98.0%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Allium Medical to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 98.0% (This Allium Medical Solutions Ltd probability density function shows the probability of Allium Medical Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Allium Medical has beta of 0.3205 . This suggests as returns on market go up, Allium Medical average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Allium Medical Solutions Ltd will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Allium Medical Solutions Ltd has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
 Allium Medical Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=1.15
β
Beta against DOW=0.32
σ
Overall volatility
=16.61
Ir
Information ratio =0.26

Allium Medical Alerts

Allium Medical Alerts and Suggestions

Allium Medical is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Allium Medical generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
Allium Medical has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported revenue of 8.86M. Net Loss for the year was (24.64M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.02M.
ALLIUM MEDIC SOLU has accumulated about 16.61M in cash with (18.16M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.23.
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Price Density Drivers

Allium Medical Health Indicators

Float Shares48.76M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day452.3k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month430.72k
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