Allmed Solutions (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 74.36

ALMD Stock  ILA 41.60  1.20  2.80%   
Allmed Solutions' future price is the expected price of Allmed Solutions instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Allmed Solutions performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Allmed Solutions Backtesting, Allmed Solutions Valuation, Allmed Solutions Correlation, Allmed Solutions Hype Analysis, Allmed Solutions Volatility, Allmed Solutions History as well as Allmed Solutions Performance.
  
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Allmed Solutions Target Price Odds to finish over 74.36

The tendency of Allmed Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  74.36  or more in 90 days
 41.60 90 days 74.36 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Allmed Solutions to move over  74.36  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Allmed Solutions probability density function shows the probability of Allmed Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Allmed Solutions price to stay between its current price of  41.60  and  74.36  at the end of the 90-day period is about 62.73 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Allmed Solutions has a beta of 0.32. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Allmed Solutions average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Allmed Solutions will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Allmed Solutions has an alpha of 0.123, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Allmed Solutions Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Allmed Solutions

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Allmed Solutions. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Allmed Solutions' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
39.1541.6044.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
37.2639.7142.16
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
39.4041.8544.30
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
40.3243.3846.44
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Allmed Solutions. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Allmed Solutions' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Allmed Solutions' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Allmed Solutions.

Allmed Solutions Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Allmed Solutions is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Allmed Solutions' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Allmed Solutions, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Allmed Solutions within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.12
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.32
σ
Overall volatility
2.34
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Allmed Solutions Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Allmed Solutions for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Allmed Solutions can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Allmed Solutions has accumulated about 9.94 M in cash with (5.48 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.12.
Roughly 45.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Allmed Solutions Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Allmed Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Allmed Solutions' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Allmed Solutions' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding80.8 M

Allmed Solutions Technical Analysis

Allmed Solutions' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Allmed Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Allmed Solutions. In general, you should focus on analyzing Allmed Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Allmed Solutions Predictive Forecast Models

Allmed Solutions' time-series forecasting models is one of many Allmed Solutions' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Allmed Solutions' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Allmed Solutions

Checking the ongoing alerts about Allmed Solutions for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Allmed Solutions help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Allmed Solutions has accumulated about 9.94 M in cash with (5.48 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.12.
Roughly 45.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

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When running Allmed Solutions' price analysis, check to measure Allmed Solutions' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Allmed Solutions is operating at the current time. Most of Allmed Solutions' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Allmed Solutions' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Allmed Solutions' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Allmed Solutions to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Allmed Solutions' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Allmed Solutions is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Allmed Solutions' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.