Alrov Properties (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11100.0
| ALRPR Stock | ILA 14,300 560.00 4.08% |
Alrov |
Alrov Properties Target Price Odds to finish below 11100.0
The tendency of Alrov Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 11,100 or more in 90 days |
| 14,300 | 90 days | 11,100 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Alrov Properties to drop to 11,100 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Alrov Properties Lodgings probability density function shows the probability of Alrov Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Alrov Properties Lodgings price to stay between 11,100 and its current price of 14300.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 61.46 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Alrov Properties Lodgings has a beta of -0.0742. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Alrov Properties are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Alrov Properties Lodgings is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Alrov Properties Lodgings has an alpha of 0.1769, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Alrov Properties Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Alrov Properties
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alrov Properties Lodgings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Alrov Properties' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Alrov Properties Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Alrov Properties is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Alrov Properties' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Alrov Properties Lodgings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Alrov Properties within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.18 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 907.16 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Alrov Properties Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Alrov Properties for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Alrov Properties Lodgings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company has accumulated 6.63 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.61, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Alrov Properties Lodgings has a current ratio of 0.45, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Alrov Properties until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Alrov Properties' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Alrov Properties Lodgings sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Alrov to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Alrov Properties' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 87.0% of Alrov Properties shares are held by company insiders |
Alrov Properties Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Alrov Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Alrov Properties' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alrov Properties' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 23.1 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 839.4 M |
Alrov Properties Technical Analysis
Alrov Properties' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Alrov Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Alrov Properties Lodgings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Alrov Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Alrov Properties Predictive Forecast Models
Alrov Properties' time-series forecasting models is one of many Alrov Properties' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Alrov Properties' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Alrov Properties Lodgings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Alrov Properties for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Alrov Properties Lodgings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company has accumulated 6.63 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.61, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Alrov Properties Lodgings has a current ratio of 0.45, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Alrov Properties until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Alrov Properties' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Alrov Properties Lodgings sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Alrov to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Alrov Properties' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 87.0% of Alrov Properties shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Alrov Properties Backtesting, Alrov Properties Valuation, Alrov Properties Correlation, Alrov Properties Hype Analysis, Alrov Properties Volatility, Alrov Properties History as well as Alrov Properties Performance. You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..
Complementary Tools for Alrov Stock analysis
When running Alrov Properties' price analysis, check to measure Alrov Properties' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alrov Properties is operating at the current time. Most of Alrov Properties' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alrov Properties' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alrov Properties' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alrov Properties to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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