Amanet Management (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2080.0

AMAN Stock  ILS 1,723  33.00  1.95%   
Amanet Management's future price is the expected price of Amanet Management instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Amanet Management Systems performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Amanet Management Backtesting, Amanet Management Valuation, Amanet Management Correlation, Amanet Management Hype Analysis, Amanet Management Volatility, Amanet Management History as well as Amanet Management Performance.
  
Please specify Amanet Management's target price for which you would like Amanet Management odds to be computed.

Amanet Management Target Price Odds to finish below 2080.0

The tendency of Amanet Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under S 2,080  after 90 days
 1,723 90 days 2,080 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Amanet Management to stay under S 2,080  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Amanet Management Systems probability density function shows the probability of Amanet Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Amanet Management Systems price to stay between its current price of S 1,723  and S 2,080  at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.87 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Amanet Management has a beta of 0.17. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Amanet Management average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Amanet Management Systems will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Amanet Management Systems has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Amanet Management Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Amanet Management

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amanet Management Systems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Amanet Management's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,6111,6131,615
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,5631,5651,774
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Amanet Management. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Amanet Management's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Amanet Management's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Amanet Management Systems.

Amanet Management Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Amanet Management is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Amanet Management's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Amanet Management Systems, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Amanet Management within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.14
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.17
σ
Overall volatility
40.98
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Amanet Management Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Amanet Management for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Amanet Management Systems can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Amanet Management generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Amanet Management Systems has accumulated about 20.82 M in cash with (1.12 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.13.
Roughly 66.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Amanet Management Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Amanet Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Amanet Management's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Amanet Management's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding6.6 M
Dividends Paid12 M
Forward Annual Dividend Rate0.91

Amanet Management Technical Analysis

Amanet Management's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Amanet Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Amanet Management Systems. In general, you should focus on analyzing Amanet Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Amanet Management Predictive Forecast Models

Amanet Management's time-series forecasting models is one of many Amanet Management's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Amanet Management's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Amanet Management Systems

Checking the ongoing alerts about Amanet Management for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Amanet Management Systems help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Amanet Management generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Amanet Management Systems has accumulated about 20.82 M in cash with (1.12 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.13.
Roughly 66.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Check out Amanet Management Backtesting, Amanet Management Valuation, Amanet Management Correlation, Amanet Management Hype Analysis, Amanet Management Volatility, Amanet Management History as well as Amanet Management Performance.
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Complementary Tools for Amanet Stock analysis

When running Amanet Management's price analysis, check to measure Amanet Management's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Amanet Management is operating at the current time. Most of Amanet Management's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Amanet Management's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Amanet Management's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Amanet Management to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Amanet Management's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Amanet Management is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Amanet Management's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.