Asg Managed Futures Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 8.78

AMFAX Fund  USD 9.74  0.06  0.62%   
Asg Managed's future price is the expected price of Asg Managed instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Asg Managed Futures performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Asg Managed Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Asg Managed Correlation, Asg Managed Hype Analysis, Asg Managed Volatility, Asg Managed History as well as Asg Managed Performance.
  
Please specify Asg Managed's target price for which you would like Asg Managed odds to be computed.

Asg Managed Target Price Odds to finish below 8.78

The tendency of Asg Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 8.78  or more in 90 days
 9.74 90 days 8.78 
nearly 4.09
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Asg Managed to drop to $ 8.78  or more in 90 days from now is nearly 4.09 (This Asg Managed Futures probability density function shows the probability of Asg Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Asg Managed Futures price to stay between $ 8.78  and its current price of $9.74 at the end of the 90-day period is more than 93.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Asg Managed has a beta of 0.72. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Asg Managed average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Asg Managed Futures will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Asg Managed Futures has an alpha of 0.0174, implying that it can generate a 0.0174 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Asg Managed Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Asg Managed

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Asg Managed Futures. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Asg Managed's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.179.7410.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.069.6310.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.279.8310.40
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.639.709.76
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Asg Managed. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Asg Managed's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Asg Managed's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Asg Managed Futures.

Asg Managed Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Asg Managed is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Asg Managed's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Asg Managed Futures, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Asg Managed within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.02
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.72
σ
Overall volatility
0.26
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Asg Managed Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Asg Managed for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Asg Managed Futures can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds about 77.73% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Asg Managed Technical Analysis

Asg Managed's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Asg Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Asg Managed Futures. In general, you should focus on analyzing Asg Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Asg Managed Predictive Forecast Models

Asg Managed's time-series forecasting models is one of many Asg Managed's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Asg Managed's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Asg Managed Futures

Checking the ongoing alerts about Asg Managed for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Asg Managed Futures help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds about 77.73% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
Check out Asg Managed Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Asg Managed Correlation, Asg Managed Hype Analysis, Asg Managed Volatility, Asg Managed History as well as Asg Managed Performance.
Note that the Asg Managed Futures information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Asg Managed's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.

Complementary Tools for Asg Mutual Fund analysis

When running Asg Managed's price analysis, check to measure Asg Managed's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Asg Managed is operating at the current time. Most of Asg Managed's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Asg Managed's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Asg Managed's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Asg Managed to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Asg Managed's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Asg Managed is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Asg Managed's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.