Amot Investments (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.00

AMOT Stock  ILS 1,629  10.00  0.62%   
Amot Investments' future price is the expected price of Amot Investments instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Amot Investments performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Amot Investments Backtesting, Amot Investments Valuation, Amot Investments Correlation, Amot Investments Hype Analysis, Amot Investments Volatility, Amot Investments History as well as Amot Investments Performance.
  
Please specify Amot Investments' target price for which you would like Amot Investments odds to be computed.

Amot Investments Target Price Odds to finish below 0.00

The tendency of Amot Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to S 0.00  or more in 90 days
 1,629 90 days 0.00 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Amot Investments to drop to S 0.00  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Amot Investments probability density function shows the probability of Amot Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Amot Investments price to stay between S 0.00  and its current price of S1629.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.79 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Amot Investments has a beta of 0.11. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Amot Investments average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Amot Investments will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Amot Investments has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Amot Investments Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Amot Investments

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amot Investments. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Amot Investments' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,6271,6291,631
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,4451,4471,792
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Amot Investments. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Amot Investments' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Amot Investments' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Amot Investments.

Amot Investments Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Amot Investments is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Amot Investments' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Amot Investments, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Amot Investments within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.27
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.11
σ
Overall volatility
89.56
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Amot Investments Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Amot Investments for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Amot Investments can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Amot Investments generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Amot Investments has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company has accumulated 7.19 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 110.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Amot Investments has a current ratio of 0.31, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Amot Investments until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Amot Investments' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Amot Investments sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Amot to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Amot Investments' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 54.0% of Amot Investments shares are held by company insiders

Amot Investments Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Amot Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Amot Investments' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Amot Investments' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding442.6 M

Amot Investments Technical Analysis

Amot Investments' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Amot Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Amot Investments. In general, you should focus on analyzing Amot Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Amot Investments Predictive Forecast Models

Amot Investments' time-series forecasting models is one of many Amot Investments' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Amot Investments' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Amot Investments

Checking the ongoing alerts about Amot Investments for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Amot Investments help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Amot Investments generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Amot Investments has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company has accumulated 7.19 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 110.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Amot Investments has a current ratio of 0.31, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Amot Investments until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Amot Investments' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Amot Investments sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Amot to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Amot Investments' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 54.0% of Amot Investments shares are held by company insiders

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When running Amot Investments' price analysis, check to measure Amot Investments' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Amot Investments is operating at the current time. Most of Amot Investments' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Amot Investments' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Amot Investments' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Amot Investments to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Amot Investments' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Amot Investments is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Amot Investments' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.