Am Resources Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.09375

AMR Stock  CAD 0.05  0.01  9.09%   
AM Resources' future price is the expected price of AM Resources instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of AM Resources Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out AM Resources Backtesting, AM Resources Valuation, AM Resources Correlation, AM Resources Hype Analysis, AM Resources Volatility, AM Resources History as well as AM Resources Performance.
  
Please specify AM Resources' target price for which you would like AM Resources odds to be computed.

AM Resources Target Price Odds to finish over 0.09375

The tendency of AMR Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over C$ 0.09  or more in 90 days
 0.05 90 days 0.09 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AM Resources to move over C$ 0.09  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This AM Resources Corp probability density function shows the probability of AMR Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AM Resources Corp price to stay between its current price of C$ 0.05  and C$ 0.09  at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.3 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 4.17 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, AM Resources will likely underperform. Moreover AM Resources Corp has an alpha of 1.5169, implying that it can generate a 1.52 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   AM Resources Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for AM Resources

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AM Resources Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AM Resources' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0518.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0418.19
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as AM Resources. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against AM Resources' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, AM Resources' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in AM Resources Corp.

AM Resources Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AM Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AM Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AM Resources Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AM Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
1.52
β
Beta against NYSE Composite4.17
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

AM Resources Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AM Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AM Resources Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AM Resources Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon
AM Resources Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
AM Resources Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company has accumulated 242.31 K in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 37.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. AM Resources Corp has a current ratio of 0.44, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist AM Resources until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, AM Resources' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like AM Resources Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for AMR to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about AM Resources' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (1.41 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (22.52 K).
AM Resources Corp has accumulated about 141.44 K in cash with (158.69 K) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 36.0% of AM Resources shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Should American Resources Corp Stock Be in Your Portfolio - InvestorsObserver

AM Resources Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AMR Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AM Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AM Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding139.3 M

AM Resources Technical Analysis

AM Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AMR Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AM Resources Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing AMR Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

AM Resources Predictive Forecast Models

AM Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many AM Resources' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AM Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about AM Resources Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about AM Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AM Resources Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AM Resources Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon
AM Resources Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
AM Resources Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company has accumulated 242.31 K in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 37.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. AM Resources Corp has a current ratio of 0.44, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist AM Resources until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, AM Resources' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like AM Resources Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for AMR to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about AM Resources' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (1.41 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (22.52 K).
AM Resources Corp has accumulated about 141.44 K in cash with (158.69 K) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 36.0% of AM Resources shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Should American Resources Corp Stock Be in Your Portfolio - InvestorsObserver

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When running AM Resources' price analysis, check to measure AM Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AM Resources is operating at the current time. Most of AM Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AM Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AM Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AM Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between AM Resources' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AM Resources is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AM Resources' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.