Amir Marketing (Israel) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

AMRK -- Israel Stock  

ILS 3,380  103.00  3.14%

Amir Marketing probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Amir Marketing and Investments in Agriculture Ltd performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Amir Marketing time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Amir Marketing odds to be computed. Check also Trending Equities.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Amir Marketing Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 3,380 30 days 3,380  ABOUT 88.44%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Amir Marketing to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 88.44% (This Amir Marketing and Investments in Agriculture Ltd probability density function shows the probability of Amir Marketing Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Amir Marketing and Investments in Agriculture Ltd has beta of -0.1834 . This suggests as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Amir Marketing are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Amir Marketing and Investments in Agriculture Ltd is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. Amir Marketing is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Amir Marketing Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.14
β
Beta against DOW=0.18
σ
Overall volatility
=165.18
Ir
Information ratio =0.05

Amir Marketing Alerts and Suggestions

Amir Marketing is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Amir Marketing generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
The company has S187.7 Million in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing

Amir MarketingPrice Density Drivers

Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.80
Float Shares3.28M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day28.04k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month25.93k
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield0.02%
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