America Movil Sab Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 12.41

AMX Stock  USD 18.02  0.03  0.17%   
America Movil's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on America Movil SAB. Implied volatility approximates the future value of America Movil based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in America Movil SAB over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $18.0 is a CALL option contract on America Movil's common stock with a strick price of 18.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-04-05 at 09:33:11 for $0.85 and, as of today, has 3 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.3, and an ask price of $0.45. The implied volatility as of the 16th of April 2024 is 56.08. View All America options

Closest to current price America long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

America Movil's future price is the expected price of America Movil instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of America Movil SAB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out America Movil Backtesting, America Movil Valuation, America Movil Correlation, America Movil Hype Analysis, America Movil Volatility, America Movil History as well as America Movil Performance.
  
At this time, America Movil's Price To Sales Ratio is fairly stable compared to the past year. Price Earnings Ratio is likely to rise to 272.62 in 2024, whereas Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is likely to drop 87.63 in 2024. Please specify America Movil's target price for which you would like America Movil odds to be computed.

America Movil Target Price Odds to finish below 12.41

The tendency of America Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 12.41  or more in 90 days
 18.02 90 days 12.41 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of America Movil to drop to $ 12.41  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This America Movil SAB probability density function shows the probability of America Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of America Movil SAB price to stay between $ 12.41  and its current price of $18.02 at the end of the 90-day period is about 22.49 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.23 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, America Movil will likely underperform. Additionally America Movil SAB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   America Movil Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for America Movil

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as America Movil SAB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of America Movil's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.4518.0219.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.8719.4421.01
Details
13 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
18.9220.7923.08
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.290.350.43
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as America Movil. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against America Movil's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, America Movil's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in America Movil SAB.

America Movil Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. America Movil is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the America Movil's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold America Movil SAB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of America Movil within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.07
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.23
σ
Overall volatility
0.57
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

America Movil Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of America Movil for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for America Movil SAB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has 625.85 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.53, which is OK given its current industry classification. America Movil SAB has a current ratio of 0.68, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist America Movil until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, America Movil's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like America Movil SAB sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for America to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about America Movil's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Amrica Mvil Announces Dividend and New Auditor - TipRanks.com - TipRanks

America Movil Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of America Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential America Movil's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. America Movil's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding62.9 B
Cash And Short Term Investments26.6 B

America Movil Technical Analysis

America Movil's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. America Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of America Movil SAB. In general, you should focus on analyzing America Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

America Movil Predictive Forecast Models

America Movil's time-series forecasting models is one of many America Movil's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary America Movil's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about America Movil SAB

Checking the ongoing alerts about America Movil for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for America Movil SAB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has 625.85 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.53, which is OK given its current industry classification. America Movil SAB has a current ratio of 0.68, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist America Movil until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, America Movil's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like America Movil SAB sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for America to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about America Movil's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Amrica Mvil Announces Dividend and New Auditor - TipRanks.com - TipRanks
When determining whether America Movil SAB offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of America Movil's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of America Movil Sab Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on America Movil Sab Stock:

Complementary Tools for America Stock analysis

When running America Movil's price analysis, check to measure America Movil's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy America Movil is operating at the current time. Most of America Movil's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of America Movil's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move America Movil's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of America Movil to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is America Movil's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of America Movil. If investors know America will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about America Movil listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.372
Earnings Share
1.48
Revenue Per Share
259.46
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.01)
Return On Assets
0.0659
The market value of America Movil SAB is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of America that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of America Movil's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is America Movil's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because America Movil's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect America Movil's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between America Movil's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if America Movil is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, America Movil's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.