American National Insurance Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 138.82

ANATDelisted Stock  USD 190.02  0.00  0.00%   
American National's future price is the expected price of American National instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of American National Insurance performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any Company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
  
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American National Target Price Odds to finish over 138.82

The tendency of American Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 138.82  in 90 days
 190.02 90 days 138.82 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of American National to stay above $ 138.82  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This American National Insurance probability density function shows the probability of American Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of American National price to stay between $ 138.82  and its current price of $190.02 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days American National Insurance has a beta of -0.0345. This suggests as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding American National are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, American National Insurance is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0076, implying that it can generate a 0.007585 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   American National Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for American National

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American National. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of American National's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of American National in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
190.02190.02190.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
161.17161.17209.02
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as American National. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against American National's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, American National's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in American National.

American National Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. American National is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the American National's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold American National Insurance, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of American National within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.01
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.35
Ir
Information ratio -0.8

American National Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of American National for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for American National can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
American National is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
American National has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
About 67.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

American National Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of American Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential American National's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. American National's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out1.86%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate3.28
Short Percent Of Float32.69%
Float Shares20.41M
Shares Short Prior Month447.88k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day165.19k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month108.43k
Date Short Interest29th of April 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield1.73%

American National Technical Analysis

American National's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. American Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of American National Insurance. In general, you should focus on analyzing American Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

American National Predictive Forecast Models

American National's time-series forecasting models is one of many American National's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary American National's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about American National

Checking the ongoing alerts about American National for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for American National help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
American National is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
American National has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
About 67.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any Company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
Note that the American National information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other American National's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.

Other Consideration for investing in American Stock

If you are still planning to invest in American National check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the American National's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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