Allianzgi Nfj Dividend Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 14.79

ANDVX Fund  USD 10.47  0.20  1.95%   
Allianzgi Nfj's future price is the expected price of Allianzgi Nfj instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Allianzgi Nfj Dividend performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Allianzgi Nfj Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Allianzgi Nfj Correlation, Allianzgi Nfj Hype Analysis, Allianzgi Nfj Volatility, Allianzgi Nfj History as well as Allianzgi Nfj Performance.
  
Please specify Allianzgi Nfj's target price for which you would like Allianzgi Nfj odds to be computed.

Allianzgi Nfj Target Price Odds to finish below 14.79

The tendency of Allianzgi Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 14.79  after 90 days
 10.47 90 days 14.79 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Allianzgi Nfj to stay under $ 14.79  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Allianzgi Nfj Dividend probability density function shows the probability of Allianzgi Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Allianzgi Nfj Dividend price to stay between its current price of $ 10.47  and $ 14.79  at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Allianzgi Nfj Dividend has a beta of -0.12. This suggests as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Allianzgi Nfj are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, Allianzgi Nfj Dividend is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Allianzgi Nfj Dividend has an alpha of 0.0489, implying that it can generate a 0.0489 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Allianzgi Nfj Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Allianzgi Nfj

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Allianzgi Nfj Dividend. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Allianzgi Nfj's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.5310.2711.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.4910.2310.97
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.5010.2410.98
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.2510.2910.33
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Allianzgi Nfj. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Allianzgi Nfj's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Allianzgi Nfj's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Allianzgi Nfj Dividend.

Allianzgi Nfj Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Allianzgi Nfj is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Allianzgi Nfj's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Allianzgi Nfj Dividend, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Allianzgi Nfj within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.05
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.12
σ
Overall volatility
0.16
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Allianzgi Nfj Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Allianzgi Nfj for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Allianzgi Nfj Dividend can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds 99.13% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Allianzgi Nfj Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Allianzgi Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Allianzgi Nfj's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Allianzgi Nfj's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Allianzgi Nfj Technical Analysis

Allianzgi Nfj's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Allianzgi Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Allianzgi Nfj Dividend. In general, you should focus on analyzing Allianzgi Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Allianzgi Nfj Predictive Forecast Models

Allianzgi Nfj's time-series forecasting models is one of many Allianzgi Nfj's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Allianzgi Nfj's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Allianzgi Nfj Dividend

Checking the ongoing alerts about Allianzgi Nfj for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Allianzgi Nfj Dividend help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds 99.13% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Complementary Tools for Allianzgi Mutual Fund analysis

When running Allianzgi Nfj's price analysis, check to measure Allianzgi Nfj's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Allianzgi Nfj is operating at the current time. Most of Allianzgi Nfj's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Allianzgi Nfj's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Allianzgi Nfj's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Allianzgi Nfj to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Idea Optimizer
Use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio
Global Correlations
Find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets
Content Syndication
Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal
Watchlist Optimization
Optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm
Top Crypto Exchanges
Search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges
Portfolio Anywhere
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device
AI Investment Finder
Use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities
Equity Analysis
Research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities
Global Markets Map
Get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes
FinTech Suite
Use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities
ETFs
Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world
Please note, there is a significant difference between Allianzgi Nfj's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Allianzgi Nfj is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Allianzgi Nfj's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.