Artisan Global Value Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 18.16

APDGX Fund  USD 22.40  0.11  0.49%   
Artisan Global's future price is the expected price of Artisan Global instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Artisan Global Value performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Artisan Global Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Artisan Global Correlation, Artisan Global Hype Analysis, Artisan Global Volatility, Artisan Global History as well as Artisan Global Performance.
  
Please specify Artisan Global's target price for which you would like Artisan Global odds to be computed.

Artisan Global Target Price Odds to finish below 18.16

The tendency of Artisan Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 18.16  or more in 90 days
 22.40 90 days 18.16 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Artisan Global to drop to $ 18.16  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Artisan Global Value probability density function shows the probability of Artisan Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Artisan Global Value price to stay between $ 18.16  and its current price of $22.4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Artisan Global has a beta of 0.72. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Artisan Global average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Artisan Global Value will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Artisan Global Value has an alpha of 0.0238, implying that it can generate a 0.0238 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Artisan Global Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Artisan Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Artisan Global Value. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Artisan Global's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.9022.4022.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.6922.1922.69
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
21.9422.4422.94
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
22.1722.3122.45
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Artisan Global. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Artisan Global's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Artisan Global's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Artisan Global Value.

Artisan Global Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Artisan Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Artisan Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Artisan Global Value, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Artisan Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.02
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.72
σ
Overall volatility
0.48
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Artisan Global Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Artisan Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Artisan Global Value can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds 96.31% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Artisan Global Technical Analysis

Artisan Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Artisan Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Artisan Global Value. In general, you should focus on analyzing Artisan Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Artisan Global Predictive Forecast Models

Artisan Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many Artisan Global's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Artisan Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Artisan Global Value

Checking the ongoing alerts about Artisan Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Artisan Global Value help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds 96.31% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
Check out Artisan Global Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Artisan Global Correlation, Artisan Global Hype Analysis, Artisan Global Volatility, Artisan Global History as well as Artisan Global Performance.
Note that the Artisan Global Value information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Artisan Global's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.

Complementary Tools for Artisan Mutual Fund analysis

When running Artisan Global's price analysis, check to measure Artisan Global's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Artisan Global is operating at the current time. Most of Artisan Global's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Artisan Global's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Artisan Global's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Artisan Global to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Artisan Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Artisan Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Artisan Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.