Alexandria Real Probability of Target Price Finishing Above 159.34

ARE -- USA Stock  

Fiscal Quarter End: December 31, 2019  

Alexandria Real probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Alexandria Real Estate Equities performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Alexandria Real time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Alexandria Real odds to be computed. Check also Alexandria Real Backtesting, Alexandria Real Valuation, Alexandria Real Correlation, Alexandria Real Hype Analysis, Alexandria Real Volatility, Alexandria Real History as well as Alexandria Real Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Alexandria Real Target Price Odds to finish below 159.34

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 159.34  after 30 days
 159.08 30 days 159.34 
about 81.38
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Alexandria Real to stay under $ 159.34  after 30 days from now is about 81.38 (This Alexandria Real Estate Equities probability density function shows the probability of Alexandria Real Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Alexandria Real Estate price to stay between its current price of $ 159.08  and $ 159.34  at the end of the 30-day period is roughly 2.25 .
Considering 30-days investment horizon, Alexandria Real has beta of 0.2782 . This suggests as returns on market go up, Alexandria Real average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Alexandria Real Estate Equities will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0528 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0528% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Alexandria Real Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.05
β
Beta against DOW=0.28
σ
Overall volatility
=3.17
Ir
Information ratio =0.023955

Alexandria Real Alerts and Suggestions

Alexandria Real has accumulated $7.01 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
Over 102.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from marketseat.info: Alexandria Real Estate Equities Stock Price Posted change of 0.28 percent - Market Seat

Alexandria RealPrice Density Drivers

Shares Percent Shares Out6.59%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate3.94
Short Percent Of Float8.04%
Float Shares113.66M
Shares Short Prior Month8.21M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day678.16k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month618.12k
Date Short InterestNovember 15, 2019
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield2.45%
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