Airport City (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 7486.8

ARPT Stock  ILS 5,926  28.00  0.47%   
Airport City's future price is the expected price of Airport City instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Airport City performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Airport City Backtesting, Airport City Valuation, Airport City Correlation, Airport City Hype Analysis, Airport City Volatility, Airport City History as well as Airport City Performance.
  
Please specify Airport City's target price for which you would like Airport City odds to be computed.

Airport City Target Price Odds to finish over 7486.8

The tendency of Airport Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over S 7,487  or more in 90 days
 5,926 90 days 7,487 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Airport City to move over S 7,487  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Airport City probability density function shows the probability of Airport Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Airport City price to stay between its current price of S 5,926  and S 7,487  at the end of the 90-day period is about 68.52 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Airport City has a beta of 0.63. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Airport City average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Airport City will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Airport City has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Airport City Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Airport City

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Airport City. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Airport City's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5,9245,9265,928
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5,3336,0026,004
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5,9915,9935,995
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5,9065,9566,006
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Airport City. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Airport City's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Airport City's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Airport City.

Airport City Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Airport City is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Airport City's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Airport City, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Airport City within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.05
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.63
σ
Overall volatility
178.32
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Airport City Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Airport City for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Airport City can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Airport City generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Airport City has accumulated S4.45 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
About 48.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Airport City Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Airport Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Airport City's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Airport City's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding124.5 M

Airport City Technical Analysis

Airport City's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Airport Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Airport City. In general, you should focus on analyzing Airport Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Airport City Predictive Forecast Models

Airport City's time-series forecasting models is one of many Airport City's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Airport City's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Airport City

Checking the ongoing alerts about Airport City for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Airport City help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Airport City generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Airport City has accumulated S4.45 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
About 48.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Check out Airport City Backtesting, Airport City Valuation, Airport City Correlation, Airport City Hype Analysis, Airport City Volatility, Airport City History as well as Airport City Performance.
You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.

Complementary Tools for Airport Stock analysis

When running Airport City's price analysis, check to measure Airport City's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Airport City is operating at the current time. Most of Airport City's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Airport City's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Airport City's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Airport City to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Airport City's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Airport City is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Airport City's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.