Ashot Ashkelon (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1303.75

ASHO Stock  ILA 2,850  15.00  0.52%   
Ashot Ashkelon's future price is the expected price of Ashot Ashkelon instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Ashot Ashkelon Industries performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Ashot Ashkelon Backtesting, Ashot Ashkelon Valuation, Ashot Ashkelon Correlation, Ashot Ashkelon Hype Analysis, Ashot Ashkelon Volatility, Ashot Ashkelon History as well as Ashot Ashkelon Performance.
  
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Ashot Ashkelon Target Price Odds to finish over 1303.75

The tendency of Ashot Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  1,304  in 90 days
 2,850 90 days 1,304 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ashot Ashkelon to stay above  1,304  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Ashot Ashkelon Industries probability density function shows the probability of Ashot Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ashot Ashkelon Industries price to stay between  1,304  and its current price of 2850.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 66.5 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ashot Ashkelon Industries has a beta of -1.03. This suggests Additionally Ashot Ashkelon Industries has an alpha of 0.316, implying that it can generate a 0.32 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Ashot Ashkelon Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ashot Ashkelon

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ashot Ashkelon Industries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ashot Ashkelon's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,6792,6832,687
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,3352,3392,951
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2,7702,7742,778
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2,3802,7403,100
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ashot Ashkelon. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ashot Ashkelon's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ashot Ashkelon's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Ashot Ashkelon Industries.

Ashot Ashkelon Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ashot Ashkelon is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ashot Ashkelon's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ashot Ashkelon Industries, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ashot Ashkelon within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.32
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-1.03
σ
Overall volatility
235.88
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Ashot Ashkelon Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ashot Ashkelon for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ashot Ashkelon Industries can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ashot Ashkelon had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Ashot Ashkelon Industries has accumulated about 11.29 M in cash with (15.4 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.56.
Roughly 85.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Ashot Ashkelon Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ashot Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ashot Ashkelon's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ashot Ashkelon's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding23.6 M

Ashot Ashkelon Technical Analysis

Ashot Ashkelon's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ashot Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ashot Ashkelon Industries. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ashot Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Ashot Ashkelon Predictive Forecast Models

Ashot Ashkelon's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ashot Ashkelon's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ashot Ashkelon's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Ashot Ashkelon Industries

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ashot Ashkelon for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ashot Ashkelon Industries help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ashot Ashkelon had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Ashot Ashkelon Industries has accumulated about 11.29 M in cash with (15.4 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.56.
Roughly 85.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Check out Ashot Ashkelon Backtesting, Ashot Ashkelon Valuation, Ashot Ashkelon Correlation, Ashot Ashkelon Hype Analysis, Ashot Ashkelon Volatility, Ashot Ashkelon History as well as Ashot Ashkelon Performance.
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When running Ashot Ashkelon's price analysis, check to measure Ashot Ashkelon's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ashot Ashkelon is operating at the current time. Most of Ashot Ashkelon's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ashot Ashkelon's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ashot Ashkelon's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ashot Ashkelon to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Ashot Ashkelon's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ashot Ashkelon is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ashot Ashkelon's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.