Altisource Portfolio Solutions Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 29.88
| ASPS Stock | USD 1.70 0.04 2.41% |
Altisource |
Altisource Portfolio Target Price Odds to finish over 29.88
The tendency of Altisource Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 29.88 or more in 90 days |
| 1.70 | 90 days | 29.88 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Altisource Portfolio to move over $ 29.88 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Altisource Portfolio Solutions probability density function shows the probability of Altisource Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Altisource Portfolio price to stay between its current price of $ 1.70 and $ 29.88 at the end of the 90-day period is about 91.26 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Altisource Portfolio Solutions has a beta of -0.0123. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Altisource Portfolio are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Altisource Portfolio Solutions is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Altisource Portfolio Solutions has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Altisource Portfolio Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Altisource Portfolio
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Altisource Portfolio. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Altisource Portfolio's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Altisource Portfolio Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Altisource Portfolio is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Altisource Portfolio's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Altisource Portfolio Solutions, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Altisource Portfolio within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.8 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.56 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.2 |
Altisource Portfolio Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Altisource Portfolio for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Altisource Portfolio can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Altisource Portfolio generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Altisource Portfolio may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Altisource Portfolio has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Altisource Portfolio has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Altisource Portfolio has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 153.34 M. Net Loss for the year was (56.29 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 21.82 M. | |
| Altisource Portfolio Solutions currently holds about 70.69 M in cash with (26.72 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.39, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 34.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Medical Properties Trust in real estate losers, Altisource Portfolio in gainers |
Altisource Portfolio Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Altisource Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Altisource Portfolio's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Altisource Portfolio's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 22.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 32.5 M |
Altisource Portfolio Technical Analysis
Altisource Portfolio's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Altisource Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Altisource Portfolio Solutions. In general, you should focus on analyzing Altisource Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Altisource Portfolio Predictive Forecast Models
Altisource Portfolio's time-series forecasting models is one of many Altisource Portfolio's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Altisource Portfolio's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Altisource Portfolio
Checking the ongoing alerts about Altisource Portfolio for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Altisource Portfolio help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Altisource Portfolio generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Altisource Portfolio may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Altisource Portfolio has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Altisource Portfolio has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Altisource Portfolio has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 153.34 M. Net Loss for the year was (56.29 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 21.82 M. | |
| Altisource Portfolio Solutions currently holds about 70.69 M in cash with (26.72 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.39, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 34.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Medical Properties Trust in real estate losers, Altisource Portfolio in gainers |
Check out Altisource Portfolio Backtesting, Altisource Portfolio Valuation, Altisource Portfolio Correlation, Altisource Portfolio Hype Analysis, Altisource Portfolio Volatility, Altisource Portfolio History as well as Altisource Portfolio Performance. You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
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When running Altisource Portfolio's price analysis, check to measure Altisource Portfolio's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Altisource Portfolio is operating at the current time. Most of Altisource Portfolio's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Altisource Portfolio's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Altisource Portfolio's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Altisource Portfolio to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Altisource Portfolio's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Altisource Portfolio. If investors know Altisource will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Altisource Portfolio listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.10) | Earnings Share (2.51) | Revenue Per Share 6.471 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) | Return On Assets (0.06) |
The market value of Altisource Portfolio is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Altisource that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Altisource Portfolio's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Altisource Portfolio's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Altisource Portfolio's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Altisource Portfolio's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Altisource Portfolio's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Altisource Portfolio is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Altisource Portfolio's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.