Agro Tech (India) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

ATFL -- India Stock  

INR 569.25  21.15  0.04%

Agro Tech probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Agro Tech Foods Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Agro Tech time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Agro Tech odds to be computed. Check also Trending Equities.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Agro Tech Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 569.25 30 days 569.25  ABOUT 42.63%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Agro Tech to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 42.63% (This Agro Tech Foods Limited probability density function shows the probability of Agro Tech Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Agro Tech has beta of 0.0215 . This suggests as returns on market go up, Agro Tech average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Agro Tech Foods Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. Agro Tech Foods is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Agro Tech Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.07
β
Beta against DOW=0.0215
σ
Overall volatility
=249.73
Ir
Information ratio =0.0071

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Agro Tech Foods is not yet fully synchronised with the market data

Price Density Drivers

Agro Tech Health Indicators

Trailing Annual Dividend Rate2.50
Float Shares7.59M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day14.04k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month2.12k
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield0.43%
Check also Trending Equities. Please also try Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
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