Atrys Health (Spain) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5.34
| ATRY Stock | EUR 2.95 0.01 0.34% |
Atrys |
Atrys Health Target Price Odds to finish over 5.34
The tendency of Atrys Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 5.34 or more in 90 days |
| 2.95 | 90 days | 5.34 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Atrys Health to move over € 5.34 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Atrys Health SL probability density function shows the probability of Atrys Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Atrys Health SL price to stay between its current price of € 2.95 and € 5.34 at the end of the 90-day period is about 85.31 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Atrys Health SL has a beta of -0.34. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Atrys Health are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Atrys Health SL is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Atrys Health SL has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Atrys Health Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Atrys Health
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Atrys Health SL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Atrys Health's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Atrys Health Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Atrys Health is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Atrys Health's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Atrys Health SL, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Atrys Health within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.29 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.34 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.23 |
Atrys Health Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Atrys Health for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Atrys Health SL can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Atrys Health SL generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Atrys Health SL has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 121.01 M. Net Loss for the year was (23.25 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 27.78 M. | |
| About 78.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Atrys Health Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Atrys Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Atrys Health's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Atrys Health's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 53.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 40.6 M |
Atrys Health Technical Analysis
Atrys Health's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Atrys Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Atrys Health SL. In general, you should focus on analyzing Atrys Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Atrys Health Predictive Forecast Models
Atrys Health's time-series forecasting models is one of many Atrys Health's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Atrys Health's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Atrys Health SL
Checking the ongoing alerts about Atrys Health for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Atrys Health SL help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Atrys Health SL generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Atrys Health SL has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 121.01 M. Net Loss for the year was (23.25 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 27.78 M. | |
| About 78.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Atrys Health Backtesting, Atrys Health Valuation, Atrys Health Correlation, Atrys Health Hype Analysis, Atrys Health Volatility, Atrys Health History as well as Atrys Health Performance. You can also try the Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.
Complementary Tools for Atrys Stock analysis
When running Atrys Health's price analysis, check to measure Atrys Health's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Atrys Health is operating at the current time. Most of Atrys Health's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Atrys Health's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Atrys Health's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Atrys Health to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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