AT S (Austria) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 15.25

ATS Stock  EUR 18.41  0.29  1.55%   
AT S's future price is the expected price of AT S instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of AT S Austria performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out AT S Backtesting, AT S Valuation, AT S Correlation, AT S Hype Analysis, AT S Volatility, AT S History as well as AT S Performance.
  
Please specify AT S's target price for which you would like AT S odds to be computed.

AT S Target Price Odds to finish over 15.25

The tendency of ATS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above € 15.25  in 90 days
 18.41 90 days 15.25 
about 99.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AT S to stay above € 15.25  in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This AT S Austria probability density function shows the probability of ATS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AT S Austria price to stay between € 15.25  and its current price of €18.41 at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.36 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon AT S Austria has a beta of -0.3. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding AT S are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, AT S Austria is likely to outperform the market. Additionally AT S Austria has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   AT S Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for AT S

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AT S Austria. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AT S's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.8018.4121.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.5816.1918.80
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as AT S. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against AT S's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, AT S's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in AT S Austria.

AT S Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AT S is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AT S's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AT S Austria, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AT S within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.34
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.3
σ
Overall volatility
2.23
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

AT S Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AT S for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AT S Austria can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AT S Austria generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 36.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

AT S Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ATS Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AT S's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AT S's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding38.9 M

AT S Technical Analysis

AT S's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ATS Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AT S Austria. In general, you should focus on analyzing ATS Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

AT S Predictive Forecast Models

AT S's time-series forecasting models is one of many AT S's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AT S's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about AT S Austria

Checking the ongoing alerts about AT S for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AT S Austria help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AT S Austria generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 36.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Check out AT S Backtesting, AT S Valuation, AT S Correlation, AT S Hype Analysis, AT S Volatility, AT S History as well as AT S Performance.
You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.

Complementary Tools for ATS Stock analysis

When running AT S's price analysis, check to measure AT S's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AT S is operating at the current time. Most of AT S's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AT S's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AT S's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AT S to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Companies Directory
Evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals
Commodity Channel
Use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum
Cryptocurrency Center
Build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency
Portfolio Diagnostics
Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings
Pattern Recognition
Use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges
FinTech Suite
Use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities
Positions Ratings
Determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Premium Stories
Follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope
Transaction History
View history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance
Portfolio File Import
Quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format
Fundamentals Comparison
Compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities
Idea Analyzer
Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas
Please note, there is a significant difference between AT S's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AT S is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AT S's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.