Avgol Industries (Israel) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

AVGL -- Israel Stock  

ILS 377.00  0.70  0.19%

Avgol Industries probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Avgol Industries time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Avgol Industries odds to be computed. Check also Avgol Industries Backtesting, Avgol Industries Valuation, Avgol Industries Correlation, Avgol Industries Hype Analysis, Avgol Industries Volatility, Avgol Industries History as well as Avgol Industries Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Avgol Industries Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 377.00 30 days 377.00  ABOUT 76.6%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Avgol Industries to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 76.6% (This Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd probability density function shows the probability of Avgol Industries Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd has beta of -0.1951 . This suggests as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Avgol Industries are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
 Avgol Industries Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.02
β
Beta against DOW=0.2
σ
Overall volatility
=14.95
Ir
Information ratio =0.019842

Avgol Industries Alerts

Avgol Industries Alerts and Suggestions

Avgol Industries generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
Avgol Industries has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations

Price Density Drivers

Avgol Industries Health Indicators

Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.04
Float Shares57.11M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day49.63k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month98.38k
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield0.01%
Check also Avgol Industries Backtesting, Avgol Industries Valuation, Avgol Industries Correlation, Avgol Industries Hype Analysis, Avgol Industries Volatility, Avgol Industries History as well as Avgol Industries Performance. Please also try Fundamentals Matrix module to view fundamentals matrix and analyze how accounts are interrelated and interconnected with each other.
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