Avgol Industries (Israel) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

AVGL -- Israel Stock  

ILS 403.80  3.50  0.86%

Avgol Industries probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Avgol Industries time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Avgol Industries odds to be computed. Check also Trending Equities.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Avgol Industries Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 403.80 30 days 403.80  ABOUT 28.11%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Avgol Industries to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 28.11% (This Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd probability density function shows the probability of Avgol Industries Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd has beta of -0.0811 . This suggests as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Avgol Industries are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Avgol Industries 1953 Ltd has an alpha of 0.1179 implying that it can potentially generate 0.1179% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Avgol Industries Price Density 
 
      
Current Price   Target Price   
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.12
β
Beta against DOW=0.08
σ
Overall volatility
=12.87
Ir
Information ratio =0.18

Avgol Industries Alerts

Avgol Industries Alerts and Suggestions

Avgol Industries is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Avgol Industries has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Check also Trending Equities. Please also try Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
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