Avgol Industries (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 124.00
| AVGL Stock | 124.00 0.70 0.56% |
Avgol |
Avgol Industries Target Price Odds to finish over 124.00
The tendency of Avgol Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 124.00 | 90 days | 124.00 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Avgol Industries to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Avgol Industries 1953 probability density function shows the probability of Avgol Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Avgol Industries has a beta of 0.5. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Avgol Industries average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Avgol Industries 1953 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Avgol Industries 1953 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Avgol Industries Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Avgol Industries
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Avgol Industries 1953. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Avgol Industries' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Avgol Industries Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Avgol Industries is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Avgol Industries' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Avgol Industries 1953, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Avgol Industries within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.33 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.50 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 8.39 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.19 |
Avgol Industries Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Avgol Industries for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Avgol Industries 1953 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Avgol Industries generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Avgol Industries has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 66.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Avgol Industries Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Avgol Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Avgol Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Avgol Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 304.2 M |
Avgol Industries Technical Analysis
Avgol Industries' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Avgol Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Avgol Industries 1953. In general, you should focus on analyzing Avgol Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Avgol Industries Predictive Forecast Models
Avgol Industries' time-series forecasting models is one of many Avgol Industries' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Avgol Industries' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Avgol Industries 1953
Checking the ongoing alerts about Avgol Industries for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Avgol Industries 1953 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Avgol Industries generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Avgol Industries has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 66.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Avgol Industries Backtesting, Avgol Industries Valuation, Avgol Industries Correlation, Avgol Industries Hype Analysis, Avgol Industries Volatility, Avgol Industries History as well as Avgol Industries Performance. You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Complementary Tools for Avgol Stock analysis
When running Avgol Industries' price analysis, check to measure Avgol Industries' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Avgol Industries is operating at the current time. Most of Avgol Industries' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Avgol Industries' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Avgol Industries' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Avgol Industries to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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