Aviv Arlon (Israel) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    AVLN -- Israel Stock  

    ILS 268.20  4.70  1.72%

    Aviv Arlon probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Aviv Arlon Ltd performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Aviv Arlon time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Aviv Arlon odds to be computed. Check also Trending Equities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
    Refresh Odds

    Aviv Arlon Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     268.20 30 days 268.20  ABOUT 31.62%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Aviv Arlon to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 31.62% (This Aviv Arlon Ltd probability density function shows the probability of Aviv Arlon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Aviv Arlon has beta of 0.7993 . This suggests as returns on market go up, Aviv Arlon average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Aviv Arlon Ltd will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.5104 implying that it can potentially generate 0.5104% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     Aviv Arlon Price Density 
    Alpha over DOW
    Beta against DOW=0.80
    Overall volatility
    Information ratio =0.27

    Aviv Arlon Alerts and Suggestions

    Aviv Arlon Ltd is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    Aviv Arlon Ltd generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
    Aviv Arlon Ltd has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
    Aviv Arlon Ltd has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
    The company reported revenue of 9.49M. Net Loss for the year was (5.13M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.54M.
    AVIV ARLON has accumulated about 73.82M in cash with (1.84M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.97.

    Aviv ArlonPrice Density Drivers

    Float Shares6.6M
    Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day1.81k
    Average Daily Volume In Three Month12.39k
    Search macroaxis.com