Aviv Arlon (Israel) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    AVLN -- Israel Stock  

    ILS 229.40  0.000006  0.00%

    Aviv Arlon probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Aviv Arlon Ltd performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Aviv Arlon time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Aviv Arlon odds to be computed. Check also Trending Equities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Aviv Arlon Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     229.40 30 days 229.40  ABOUT 10.47%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Aviv Arlon to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 10.47% (This Aviv Arlon Ltd probability density function shows the probability of Aviv Arlon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Aviv Arlon has beta of 0.215 . This suggests as returns on market go up, Aviv Arlon average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Aviv Arlon Ltd will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Aviv Arlon Ltd has an alpha of 0.1225 implying that it can potentially generate 0.1225% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     Aviv Arlon Price Density 
     
          
    Current Price   Target Price   
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.12
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.21
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =2.45
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.32

    Aviv Arlon Alerts

    Aviv Arlon Alerts and Suggestions

    Aviv Arlon Ltd is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    Aviv Arlon Ltd has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
    Aviv Arlon Ltd has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
    Check also Trending Equities. Please also try Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
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