Biglari Holdings Probability of Target Price Finishing Above 96.26

BH -- USA Stock  

USD 111.90  0.11  0.1%

Biglari Holdings probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Biglari Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Biglari Holdings time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Biglari Holdings odds to be computed. Check also Biglari Holdings Backtesting, Biglari Holdings Valuation, Biglari Holdings Correlation, Biglari Holdings Hype Analysis, Biglari Holdings Volatility, Biglari Holdings History as well as Biglari Holdings Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Biglari Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 96.26

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 96.26  or more in 30 days
 111.90 30 days 96.26 
ABOUT 36.93%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Biglari Holdings to drop to $ 96.26  or more in 30 days from now is about 36.93% (This Biglari Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Biglari Holdings Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Biglari Holdings price to stay between $ 96.26  and its current price of $111.9 at the end of the 30-day period is about 59.56%.
Allowing for the 30-days total investment horizon, the stock has beta coefficient of 1.3413 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average . However, if the benchmark returns are expected to be negative, Biglari Holdings will likely underperform. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.182 implying that it can potentially generate 0.182% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Biglari Holdings Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.18
β
Beta against DOW=1.34
σ
Overall volatility
=7.23
Ir
Information ratio =0.06

Biglari Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

The company reports 345M of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 57.2 which implies that the company may not be able to produce enough cash to satisfy its debt commitments. Biglari Holdings has Current Ratio of 0.58 implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time.
Over 94.0% of Biglari Holdings shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Biglari Holdings exotic insider transaction detected

Biglari HoldingsPrice Density Drivers

Shares Percent Shares Out2.52%
Short Percent Of Float6.12%
Float Shares263.09k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day13.98k
Shares Short Prior Month50.88k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month10.96k
Date Short InterestAugust 15, 2019
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