Brighthouse Financial Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 35.24
| BHF Stock | USD 47.58 0.64 1.36% |
Closest to current price Brighthouse long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Brighthouse |
Brighthouse Financial Target Price Odds to finish over 35.24
The tendency of Brighthouse Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 35.24 in 90 days |
| 47.58 | 90 days | 35.24 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Brighthouse Financial to stay above $ 35.24 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Brighthouse Financial probability density function shows the probability of Brighthouse Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Brighthouse Financial price to stay between $ 35.24 and its current price of $47.58 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.98 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.63 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Brighthouse Financial will likely underperform. Additionally Brighthouse Financial has an alpha of 0.2783, implying that it can generate a 0.28 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Brighthouse Financial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Brighthouse Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Brighthouse Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Brighthouse Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Brighthouse Financial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Brighthouse Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Brighthouse Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Brighthouse Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Brighthouse Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.28 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.63 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.65 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.1 |
Brighthouse Financial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Brighthouse Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Brighthouse Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Brighthouse Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 4.12 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (1.11 B) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.9 B. | |
| Brighthouse Financial has about 6.34 B in cash with (137 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 91.74, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Brighthouse Financial has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 83.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Arizona State Retirement System Sells 726 Shares of Brighthouse Financial, Inc. - Defense World |
Brighthouse Financial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Brighthouse Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Brighthouse Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Brighthouse Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 66 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 86 B |
Brighthouse Financial Technical Analysis
Brighthouse Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Brighthouse Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Brighthouse Financial. In general, you should focus on analyzing Brighthouse Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Brighthouse Financial Predictive Forecast Models
Brighthouse Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Brighthouse Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Brighthouse Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Brighthouse Financial
Checking the ongoing alerts about Brighthouse Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Brighthouse Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Brighthouse Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 4.12 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (1.11 B) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.9 B. | |
| Brighthouse Financial has about 6.34 B in cash with (137 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 91.74, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Brighthouse Financial has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 83.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Arizona State Retirement System Sells 726 Shares of Brighthouse Financial, Inc. - Defense World |
Check out Brighthouse Financial Backtesting, Brighthouse Financial Valuation, Brighthouse Financial Correlation, Brighthouse Financial Hype Analysis, Brighthouse Financial Volatility, Brighthouse Financial History as well as Brighthouse Financial Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Brighthouse Stock please use our How to Invest in Brighthouse Financial guide.Note that the Brighthouse Financial information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Brighthouse Financial's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
Complementary Tools for Brighthouse Stock analysis
When running Brighthouse Financial's price analysis, check to measure Brighthouse Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Brighthouse Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Brighthouse Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Brighthouse Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Brighthouse Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Brighthouse Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Brighthouse Financial's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Brighthouse Financial. If investors know Brighthouse will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Brighthouse Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.278 | Earnings Share (18.39) | Revenue Per Share 67.774 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.53) | Return On Assets (0) |
The market value of Brighthouse Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Brighthouse that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Brighthouse Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Brighthouse Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Brighthouse Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Brighthouse Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Brighthouse Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Brighthouse Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Brighthouse Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.