Biotron Limited Stock Odds of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.04

BITRF Stock  USD 0.06  0.01  19.88%   
Biotron's future price is the expected price of Biotron instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Biotron Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Biotron Backtesting, Biotron Valuation, Biotron Correlation, Biotron Hype Analysis, Biotron Volatility, Biotron History as well as Biotron Performance.
  
Please specify Biotron's target price for which you would like Biotron odds to be computed.

Biotron Target Price Odds to finish over 0.04

The tendency of Biotron Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 0.04  in 90 days
 0.06 90 days 0.04 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Biotron to stay above $ 0.04  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Biotron Limited probability density function shows the probability of Biotron Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Biotron Limited price to stay between $ 0.04  and its current price of $0.0585 at the end of the 90-day period is about 51.17 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Biotron Limited has a beta of -0.64 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Biotron are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, Biotron Limited is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Biotron Limited has an alpha of 0.1055, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Biotron Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Biotron

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Biotron Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Biotron's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.066.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.056.49
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.076.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.060.060.06
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Biotron. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Biotron's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Biotron's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Biotron Limited.

Biotron Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Biotron is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Biotron's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Biotron Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Biotron within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.11
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.64
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Biotron Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Biotron for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Biotron Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Biotron Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Biotron Limited has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Biotron Limited has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company reported the revenue of 1.56 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.78 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.56 M.
Biotron Limited has accumulated about 1.74 M in cash with (2.44 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 14.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Biotron Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Biotron Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Biotron's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Biotron's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding701.9 M

Biotron Technical Analysis

Biotron's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Biotron Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Biotron Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Biotron Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Biotron Predictive Forecast Models

Biotron's time-series forecasting models is one of many Biotron's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Biotron's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Biotron Limited

Checking the ongoing alerts about Biotron for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Biotron Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Biotron Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Biotron Limited has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Biotron Limited has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company reported the revenue of 1.56 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.78 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.56 M.
Biotron Limited has accumulated about 1.74 M in cash with (2.44 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 14.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Check out Biotron Backtesting, Biotron Valuation, Biotron Correlation, Biotron Hype Analysis, Biotron Volatility, Biotron History as well as Biotron Performance.
You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.

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When running Biotron's price analysis, check to measure Biotron's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Biotron is operating at the current time. Most of Biotron's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Biotron's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Biotron's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Biotron to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Biotron's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Biotron is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Biotron's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.