Bok Financial Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 86.73
| BOKF Stock | USD 85.13 0.22 0.26% |
Closest to current price BOK long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
BOK |
BOK Financial Target Price Odds to finish over 86.73
The tendency of BOK Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 86.73 or more in 90 days |
| 85.13 | 90 days | 86.73 | about 34.41 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BOK Financial to move over $ 86.73 or more in 90 days from now is about 34.41 (This BOK Financial probability density function shows the probability of BOK Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BOK Financial price to stay between its current price of $ 85.13 and $ 86.73 at the end of the 90-day period is about 19.27 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.54 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, BOK Financial will likely underperform. Additionally BOK Financial has an alpha of 0.0046, implying that it can generate a 0.004586 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). BOK Financial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for BOK Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BOK Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of BOK Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
BOK Financial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BOK Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BOK Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BOK Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BOK Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.54 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.24 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
BOK Financial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BOK Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BOK Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 60.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| On 28th of February 2024 BOK Financial paid $ 0.55 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Analysts Estimate BOK Financial to Report a Decline in Earnings What to Look Out for |
BOK Financial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BOK Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BOK Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BOK Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 65.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 203.8 M |
BOK Financial Technical Analysis
BOK Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BOK Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BOK Financial. In general, you should focus on analyzing BOK Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
BOK Financial Predictive Forecast Models
BOK Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many BOK Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BOK Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about BOK Financial
Checking the ongoing alerts about BOK Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BOK Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 60.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| On 28th of February 2024 BOK Financial paid $ 0.55 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Analysts Estimate BOK Financial to Report a Decline in Earnings What to Look Out for |
Check out BOK Financial Backtesting, BOK Financial Valuation, BOK Financial Correlation, BOK Financial Hype Analysis, BOK Financial Volatility, BOK Financial History as well as BOK Financial Performance. For more detail on how to invest in BOK Stock please use our How to Invest in BOK Financial guide.You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Complementary Tools for BOK Stock analysis
When running BOK Financial's price analysis, check to measure BOK Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BOK Financial is operating at the current time. Most of BOK Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BOK Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BOK Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BOK Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is BOK Financial's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of BOK Financial. If investors know BOK will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about BOK Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.49) | Dividend Share 2.18 | Earnings Share 8.02 | Revenue Per Share 30.71 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.07) |
The market value of BOK Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of BOK that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of BOK Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is BOK Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because BOK Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect BOK Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between BOK Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if BOK Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BOK Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.