Box Probability of Target Price Finishing Above 11.03

BOX -- USA Stock  

Fiscal Quarter End: October 31, 2019  

Box probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Box performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Box time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Box odds to be computed. Check also Box Backtesting, Box Valuation, Box Correlation, Box Hype Analysis, Box Volatility, Box History as well as Box Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
Refresh Odds

Box Target Price Odds to finish below 11.03

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 11.03  or more in 30 days
 16.78 30 days 11.03 
near 1
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Box to drop to $ 11.03  or more in 30 days from now is near 1 (This Box probability density function shows the probability of Box Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Box price to stay between $ 11.03  and its current price of $16.78 at the end of the 30-day period is about 69.39 .
Considering 30-days investment horizon, the stock has beta coefficient of 1.1537 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average . However, if the benchmark returns are expected to be negative, Box will likely underperform. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. Box is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Box Price Density 
Alpha over DOW
Beta against DOW=1.15
Overall volatility
Information ratio =0.0032

Box Alerts and Suggestions

Box generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
The company has 398.54 M in debt. Box has Current Ratio of 0.78 suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due.
The entity reported last year revenue of 655.18 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (132.95 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 434.79 M.
About 68.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from ATT sells Puerto Rico and U.S. Virgin Island assets to Liberty Latam in 1.95 billion deal - MarketWatch

BoxPrice Density Drivers

Shares Percent Shares Out5.40%
Short Percent Of Float5.62%
Float Shares140.93M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day1.3M
Shares Short Prior Month10.37M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month2.31M
Date Short InterestSeptember 30, 2019