Box Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 16.45

BOX Stock  USD 28.40  0.10  0.35%   
Box's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Box Inc. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Box based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Box Inc over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $28.0 is a CALL option contract on Box's common stock with a strick price of 28.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-26 at 12:50:39 for $0.95 and, as of today, has 22 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.8, and an ask price of $0.9. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 22.52. View All Box options

Closest to current price Box long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Box's future price is the expected price of Box instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Box Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Box Backtesting, Box Valuation, Box Correlation, Box Hype Analysis, Box Volatility, Box History as well as Box Performance.
  
At this time, Box's Price Earnings Ratio is fairly stable compared to the past year. Price Book Value Ratio is likely to rise to 64.45 in 2024, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop 3.43 in 2024. Please specify Box's target price for which you would like Box odds to be computed.

Box Target Price Odds to finish below 16.45

The tendency of Box Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 16.45  or more in 90 days
 28.40 90 days 16.45 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Box to drop to $ 16.45  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Box Inc probability density function shows the probability of Box Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Box Inc price to stay between $ 16.45  and its current price of $28.4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 86.38 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.44 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Box will likely underperform. Additionally Box Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Box Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Box

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Box Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Box's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.5628.4230.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.7929.6531.51
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.0025.8627.73
Details
13 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
28.6731.5034.97
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Box. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Box's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Box's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Box Inc.

Box Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Box is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Box's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Box Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Box within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.03
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.44
σ
Overall volatility
1.52
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Box Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Box for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Box Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Box Inc is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Box Inc has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 88.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from globenewswire.com: Dimensional Fund Advisors Ltd. Form 8.3 - TRITAX BIG BOX REIT PLC - Ordinary Shares

Box Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Box Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Box's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Box's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding148.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments481.2 M

Box Technical Analysis

Box's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Box Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Box Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Box Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Box Predictive Forecast Models

Box's time-series forecasting models is one of many Box's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Box's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Box Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Box for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Box Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Box Inc is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Box Inc has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 88.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from globenewswire.com: Dimensional Fund Advisors Ltd. Form 8.3 - TRITAX BIG BOX REIT PLC - Ordinary Shares
When determining whether Box Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Box's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Box Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Box Inc Stock:
Check out Box Backtesting, Box Valuation, Box Correlation, Box Hype Analysis, Box Volatility, Box History as well as Box Performance.
You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.

Complementary Tools for Box Stock analysis

When running Box's price analysis, check to measure Box's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Box is operating at the current time. Most of Box's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Box's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Box's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Box to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Box's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Box. If investors know Box will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Box listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
4.493
Earnings Share
0.67
Revenue Per Share
7.196
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.025
Return On Assets
0.0259
The market value of Box Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Box that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Box's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Box's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Box's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Box's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Box's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Box is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Box's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.