Box Probability of Target Price Finishing Over 17.9

BOX -- USA Stock  

Fiscal Quarter End: October 31, 2019  

Box probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Box performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Box time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Box odds to be computed. Check also Box Backtesting, Box Valuation, Box Correlation, Box Hype Analysis, Box Volatility, Box History as well as Box Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Box Target Price Odds to finish over 17.9

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 17.90  or more in 30 days
 16.75 30 days 17.90 
about 11.14
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Box to move over $ 17.90  or more in 30 days from now is about 11.14 (This Box probability density function shows the probability of Box Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Box price to stay between its current price of $ 16.75  and $ 17.90  at the end of the 30-day period is about 20.38 .
Considering 30-days investment horizon, the stock has beta coefficient of 1.1439 . This suggests Box market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Box is expected to follow. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. Box is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Box Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.02
β
Beta against DOW=1.14
σ
Overall volatility
=1.56
Ir
Information ratio =0.0083

Box Alerts and Suggestions

Box generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
The company has 398.54 M in debt. Box has Current Ratio of 0.78 suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due.
The entity reported last year revenue of 655.18 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (132.95 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 434.79 M.
About 68.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from www.marketwatch.com: ATT sells Puerto Rico and U.S. Virgin Island assets to Liberty Latam in 1.95 billion deal - MarketWatch

BoxPrice Density Drivers

Shares Percent Shares Out5.40%
Short Percent Of Float5.62%
Float Shares140.93M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day1.3M
Shares Short Prior Month10.37M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month2.31M
Date Short InterestSeptember 30, 2019
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