Baran (Israel) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.00

BRAN Stock  ILA 1,102  18.00  1.66%   
Baran's future price is the expected price of Baran instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Baran Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Baran Backtesting, Baran Valuation, Baran Correlation, Baran Hype Analysis, Baran Volatility, Baran History as well as Baran Performance.
  
Please specify Baran's target price for which you would like Baran odds to be computed.

Baran Target Price Odds to finish below 0.00

The tendency of Baran Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  0.00  or more in 90 days
 1,102 90 days 0.00 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Baran to drop to  0.00  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Baran Group probability density function shows the probability of Baran Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Baran Group price to stay between  0.00  and its current price of 1102.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 90.11 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Baran Group has a beta of -0.0665 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Baran are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Baran Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Baran Group has an alpha of 0.2744, implying that it can generate a 0.27 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Baran Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Baran

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Baran Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Baran's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,0821,0841,086
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
864.51866.771,192
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Baran. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Baran's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Baran's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Baran Group.

Baran Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Baran is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Baran's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Baran Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Baran within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.27
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.07
σ
Overall volatility
100.36
Ir
Information ratio 0.10

Baran Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Baran for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Baran Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 52.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Baran Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Baran Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Baran's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Baran's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding19.9 M

Baran Technical Analysis

Baran's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Baran Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Baran Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Baran Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Baran Predictive Forecast Models

Baran's time-series forecasting models is one of many Baran's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Baran's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Baran Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about Baran for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Baran Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 52.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Check out Baran Backtesting, Baran Valuation, Baran Correlation, Baran Hype Analysis, Baran Volatility, Baran History as well as Baran Performance.
You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

Complementary Tools for Baran Stock analysis

When running Baran's price analysis, check to measure Baran's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Baran is operating at the current time. Most of Baran's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Baran's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Baran's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Baran to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Options Analysis
Analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios
Economic Indicators
Top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing
ETFs
Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world
Efficient Frontier
Plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market.
Piotroski F Score
Get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals
Idea Analyzer
Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas
Please note, there is a significant difference between Baran's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Baran is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Baran's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.