Baran (Israel) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 775.72

BRAN Stock  ILA 1,100  13.00  1.17%   
Baran's future price is the expected price of Baran instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Baran Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Baran Backtesting, Baran Valuation, Baran Correlation, Baran Hype Analysis, Baran Volatility, Baran History as well as Baran Performance.
  
Please specify Baran's target price for which you would like Baran odds to be computed.

Baran Target Price Odds to finish over 775.72

The tendency of Baran Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  775.72  in 90 days
 1,100 90 days 775.72 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Baran to stay above  775.72  in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Baran Group probability density function shows the probability of Baran Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Baran Group price to stay between  775.72  and its current price of 1100.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 86.5 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Baran has a beta of 0.16 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Baran average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Baran Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Baran Group has an alpha of 0.2755, implying that it can generate a 0.28 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Baran Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Baran

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Baran Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Baran's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,0981,1001,102
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
990.001,2981,300
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,0931,0951,098
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1,0791,0951,111
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Baran. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Baran's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Baran's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Baran Group.

Baran Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Baran is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Baran's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Baran Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Baran within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.28
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.16
σ
Overall volatility
101.57
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Baran Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Baran for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Baran Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 52.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Baran Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Baran Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Baran's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Baran's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding19.9 M

Baran Technical Analysis

Baran's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Baran Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Baran Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Baran Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Baran Predictive Forecast Models

Baran's time-series forecasting models is one of many Baran's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Baran's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Baran Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about Baran for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Baran Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 52.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Check out Baran Backtesting, Baran Valuation, Baran Correlation, Baran Hype Analysis, Baran Volatility, Baran History as well as Baran Performance.
You can also try the Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..

Complementary Tools for Baran Stock analysis

When running Baran's price analysis, check to measure Baran's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Baran is operating at the current time. Most of Baran's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Baran's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Baran's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Baran to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Baran's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Baran is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Baran's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.