Brill Shoe (Israel) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

BRIL -- Israel Stock  

ILS 640.50  1.50  0.23%

Brill Shoe probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Brill Shoe Industries Ltd performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Brill Shoe time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Brill Shoe odds to be computed. Check also Trending Equities.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Brill Shoe Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 640.50 30 days 640.50  ABOUT 91.27%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Brill Shoe to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 91.27% (This Brill Shoe Industries Ltd probability density function shows the probability of Brill Shoe Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Brill Shoe has beta of 0.1736 . This suggests as returns on market go up, Brill Shoe average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Brill Shoe Industries Ltd will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. Brill Shoe Industries is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Brill Shoe Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.26
β
Beta against DOW=0.17
σ
Overall volatility
=34.71
Ir
Information ratio =0.14

Brill Shoe Alerts and Suggestions

Brill Shoe is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Brill Shoe generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
Brill Shoe has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations

Brill ShoePrice Density Drivers

Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.40
Float Shares2.82M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day5.03k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month2.78k
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield0.06%
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