American Beacon Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

BRLVX -- USA Fund  

USD 26.21  0.31  1.17%

American Beacon probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of American Beacon Bridgeway Large performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify American Beacon time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like American Beacon odds to be computed. Check also American Beacon Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, American Beacon Correlation, American Beacon Hype Analysis, American Beacon Volatility, American Beacon History as well as American Beacon Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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American Beacon Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 26.21 30 days 26.21 
about 35.47
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of American Beacon to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 35.47 (This American Beacon Bridgeway Large probability density function shows the probability of American Beacon Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the fund has beta coefficient of 1.0373 . This suggests American Beacon Bridgeway Large market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, American Beacon is expected to follow. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.014 implying that it can potentially generate 0.014% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 American Beacon Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.013968
β
Beta against DOW=1.04
σ
Overall volatility
=0.62
Ir
Information ratio =0.011957

American Beacon Alerts and Suggestions

American Beacon Brid generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Best Buy exotic insider transaction detected
The fund generated five year return of -1.0%
American Beacon Brid holds 99.15% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

American BeaconPrice Density Drivers

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