Boston Properties Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 127.55

BXP Stock  USD 63.15  3.06  5.09%   
Boston Properties' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Boston Properties. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Boston Properties based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Boston Properties over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $62.5 is a CALL option contract on Boston Properties' common stock with a strick price of 62.5 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-27 at 15:57:22 for $2.41 and, as of today, has 22 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $2.4, and an ask price of $2.5. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 33.95. View All Boston options

Closest to current price Boston long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Boston Properties' future price is the expected price of Boston Properties instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Boston Properties performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Boston Properties Backtesting, Boston Properties Valuation, Boston Properties Correlation, Boston Properties Hype Analysis, Boston Properties Volatility, Boston Properties History as well as Boston Properties Performance.
To learn how to invest in Boston Stock, please use our How to Invest in Boston Properties guide.
  
At this time, Boston Properties' Price Fair Value is relatively stable compared to the past year. Please specify Boston Properties' target price for which you would like Boston Properties odds to be computed.

Boston Properties Target Price Odds to finish over 127.55

The tendency of Boston Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 127.55  or more in 90 days
 63.15 90 days 127.55 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Boston Properties to move over $ 127.55  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Boston Properties probability density function shows the probability of Boston Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Boston Properties price to stay between its current price of $ 63.15  and $ 127.55  at the end of the 90-day period is about 84.78 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.47 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Boston Properties will likely underperform. Additionally Boston Properties has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Boston Properties Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Boston Properties

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Boston Properties. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Boston Properties' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
60.5762.7965.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
56.8465.5667.78
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
59.8562.0664.28
Details
22 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
60.5766.5673.88
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Boston Properties. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Boston Properties' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Boston Properties' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Boston Properties.

Boston Properties Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Boston Properties is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Boston Properties' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Boston Properties, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Boston Properties within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.46
β
Beta against NYSE Composite2.47
σ
Overall volatility
3.33
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Boston Properties Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Boston Properties for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Boston Properties can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Boston Properties generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Boston Properties has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 30th of January 2024 Boston Properties paid $ 0.98 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Boston Properties Closes Stake Sale in Kendall Square Asset

Boston Properties Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Boston Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Boston Properties' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Boston Properties' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding157.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.6 B

Boston Properties Technical Analysis

Boston Properties' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Boston Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Boston Properties. In general, you should focus on analyzing Boston Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Boston Properties Predictive Forecast Models

Boston Properties' time-series forecasting models is one of many Boston Properties' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Boston Properties' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Boston Properties

Checking the ongoing alerts about Boston Properties for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Boston Properties help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Boston Properties generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Boston Properties has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 30th of January 2024 Boston Properties paid $ 0.98 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Boston Properties Closes Stake Sale in Kendall Square Asset
When determining whether Boston Properties is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Boston Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Boston Properties Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Boston Properties Stock:

Complementary Tools for Boston Stock analysis

When running Boston Properties' price analysis, check to measure Boston Properties' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Boston Properties is operating at the current time. Most of Boston Properties' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Boston Properties' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Boston Properties' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Boston Properties to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Boston Properties' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Boston Properties. If investors know Boston will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Boston Properties listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.02)
Dividend Share
3.92
Earnings Share
1.21
Revenue Per Share
20.631
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.348
The market value of Boston Properties is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Boston that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Boston Properties' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Boston Properties' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Boston Properties' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Boston Properties' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Boston Properties' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Boston Properties is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Boston Properties' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.