Cboe Global Markets Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 114.84

CBOE Stock  USD 183.73  3.56  1.98%   
Cboe Global's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Cboe Global Markets. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Cboe Global based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Cboe Global Markets over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-05 CALL at $182.5 is a CALL option contract on Cboe Global's common stock with a strick price of 182.5 expiring on 2024-04-05. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-28 at 15:50:36 for $2.49 and, as of today, has 7 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $2.1, and an ask price of $4.0. The implied volatility as of the 29th of March is 16.97. View All Cboe options

Closest to current price Cboe long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Cboe Global's future price is the expected price of Cboe Global instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Cboe Global Markets performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Cboe Global Backtesting, Cboe Global Valuation, Cboe Global Correlation, Cboe Global Hype Analysis, Cboe Global Volatility, Cboe Global History as well as Cboe Global Performance.
  
At present, Cboe Global's Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price Sales Ratio is expected to grow to 6.46, whereas Price Book Value Ratio is forecasted to decline to 4.52. Please specify Cboe Global's target price for which you would like Cboe Global odds to be computed.

Cboe Global Target Price Odds to finish over 114.84

The tendency of Cboe Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 114.84  in 90 days
 183.73 90 days 114.84 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cboe Global to stay above $ 114.84  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Cboe Global Markets probability density function shows the probability of Cboe Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cboe Global Markets price to stay between $ 114.84  and its current price of $183.73 at the end of the 90-day period is about 51.2 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Cboe Global Markets has a beta of -0.0637 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Cboe Global are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, Cboe Global Markets is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Cboe Global Markets has an alpha of 0.0787, implying that it can generate a 0.0787 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Cboe Global Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cboe Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cboe Global Markets. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cboe Global's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
182.50183.73184.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
173.73174.96202.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
182.19183.42184.65
Details
14 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
125.13137.50152.63
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Cboe Global. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Cboe Global's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Cboe Global's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Cboe Global Markets.

Cboe Global Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cboe Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cboe Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cboe Global Markets, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cboe Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.08
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.06
σ
Overall volatility
5.72
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Cboe Global Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cboe Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cboe Global Markets can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 85.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 15th of March 2024 Cboe Global paid $ 0.55 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Fidelity Transfers Twelve ETFs to Cboe Canada

Cboe Global Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cboe Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cboe Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cboe Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding106.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments569.1 M

Cboe Global Technical Analysis

Cboe Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cboe Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cboe Global Markets. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cboe Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Cboe Global Predictive Forecast Models

Cboe Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cboe Global's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cboe Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Cboe Global Markets

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cboe Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cboe Global Markets help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 85.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 15th of March 2024 Cboe Global paid $ 0.55 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Fidelity Transfers Twelve ETFs to Cboe Canada
When determining whether Cboe Global Markets is a strong investment it is important to analyze Cboe Global's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Cboe Global's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Cboe Stock, refer to the following important reports:

Complementary Tools for Cboe Stock analysis

When running Cboe Global's price analysis, check to measure Cboe Global's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cboe Global is operating at the current time. Most of Cboe Global's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cboe Global's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cboe Global's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cboe Global to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Cboe Global's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cboe Global. If investors know Cboe will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cboe Global listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.326
Dividend Share
2.1
Earnings Share
7.13
Revenue Per Share
35.666
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.04)
The market value of Cboe Global Markets is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cboe that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cboe Global's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cboe Global's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cboe Global's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cboe Global's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cboe Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cboe Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cboe Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.