Cellcom Israel (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1420.0
| CEL Stock | ILA 1,485 10.00 0.68% |
Cellcom |
Cellcom Israel Target Price Odds to finish below 1420.0
The tendency of Cellcom Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 1,420 or more in 90 days |
| 1,485 | 90 days | 1,420 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cellcom Israel to drop to 1,420 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Cellcom Israel probability density function shows the probability of Cellcom Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cellcom Israel price to stay between 1,420 and its current price of 1485.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.97 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Cellcom Israel has a beta of 0.51 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Cellcom Israel average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cellcom Israel will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Cellcom Israel has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Cellcom Israel Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Cellcom Israel
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cellcom Israel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cellcom Israel's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Cellcom Israel Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cellcom Israel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cellcom Israel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cellcom Israel, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cellcom Israel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.51 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 34.56 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Cellcom Israel Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cellcom Israel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cellcom Israel can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Cellcom Israel generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 48.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Cellcom Israel Technical Analysis
Cellcom Israel's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cellcom Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cellcom Israel. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cellcom Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Cellcom Israel Predictive Forecast Models
Cellcom Israel's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cellcom Israel's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cellcom Israel's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Cellcom Israel
Checking the ongoing alerts about Cellcom Israel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cellcom Israel help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Cellcom Israel generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 48.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Cellcom Israel Backtesting, Cellcom Israel Valuation, Cellcom Israel Correlation, Cellcom Israel Hype Analysis, Cellcom Israel Volatility, Cellcom Israel History as well as Cellcom Israel Performance. You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
Complementary Tools for Cellcom Stock analysis
When running Cellcom Israel's price analysis, check to measure Cellcom Israel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cellcom Israel is operating at the current time. Most of Cellcom Israel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cellcom Israel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cellcom Israel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cellcom Israel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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