Upsellon Brands (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 22.32

CHR Stock  ILS 107.00  6.00  5.94%   
Upsellon Brands' future price is the expected price of Upsellon Brands instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Upsellon Brands Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Upsellon Brands Backtesting, Upsellon Brands Valuation, Upsellon Brands Correlation, Upsellon Brands Hype Analysis, Upsellon Brands Volatility, Upsellon Brands History as well as Upsellon Brands Performance.
  
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Upsellon Brands Target Price Odds to finish below 22.32

The tendency of Upsellon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to S 22.32  or more in 90 days
 107.00 90 days 22.32 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Upsellon Brands to drop to S 22.32  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Upsellon Brands Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Upsellon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Upsellon Brands Holdings price to stay between S 22.32  and its current price of S107.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 50.23 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.97 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Upsellon Brands will likely underperform. Additionally Upsellon Brands Holdings has an alpha of 0.0093, implying that it can generate a 0.00927 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Upsellon Brands Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Upsellon Brands

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Upsellon Brands Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Upsellon Brands' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
101.33107.00112.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
84.9790.64117.70
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
111.36117.03122.70
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
89.16103.23117.29
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Upsellon Brands. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Upsellon Brands' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Upsellon Brands' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Upsellon Brands Holdings.

Upsellon Brands Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Upsellon Brands is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Upsellon Brands' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Upsellon Brands Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Upsellon Brands within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.01
β
Beta against NYSE Composite2.97
σ
Overall volatility
8.66
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Upsellon Brands Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Upsellon Brands for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Upsellon Brands Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Upsellon Brands generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Upsellon Brands has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company has accumulated 958 K in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 6.4, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Upsellon Brands Holdings has a current ratio of 0.12, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Upsellon Brands until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Upsellon Brands' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Upsellon Brands Holdings sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Upsellon to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Upsellon Brands' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (3.49 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (174 K).
Upsellon Brands Holdings has accumulated about 153 K in cash with (752 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 12.0% of Upsellon Brands shares are held by company insiders

Upsellon Brands Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Upsellon Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Upsellon Brands' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Upsellon Brands' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding787 K

Upsellon Brands Technical Analysis

Upsellon Brands' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Upsellon Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Upsellon Brands Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Upsellon Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Upsellon Brands Predictive Forecast Models

Upsellon Brands' time-series forecasting models is one of many Upsellon Brands' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Upsellon Brands' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Upsellon Brands Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about Upsellon Brands for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Upsellon Brands Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Upsellon Brands generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Upsellon Brands has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company has accumulated 958 K in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 6.4, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Upsellon Brands Holdings has a current ratio of 0.12, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Upsellon Brands until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Upsellon Brands' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Upsellon Brands Holdings sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Upsellon to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Upsellon Brands' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (3.49 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (174 K).
Upsellon Brands Holdings has accumulated about 153 K in cash with (752 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 12.0% of Upsellon Brands shares are held by company insiders
Check out Upsellon Brands Backtesting, Upsellon Brands Valuation, Upsellon Brands Correlation, Upsellon Brands Hype Analysis, Upsellon Brands Volatility, Upsellon Brands History as well as Upsellon Brands Performance.
You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.

Complementary Tools for Upsellon Stock analysis

When running Upsellon Brands' price analysis, check to measure Upsellon Brands' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Upsellon Brands is operating at the current time. Most of Upsellon Brands' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Upsellon Brands' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Upsellon Brands' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Upsellon Brands to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Upsellon Brands' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Upsellon Brands is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Upsellon Brands' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.