Citizens Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5.85
| CIA Stock | USD 2.01 0.03 1.52% |
Closest to current price Citizens long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration
Citizens |
Citizens Target Price Odds to finish below 5.85
The tendency of Citizens Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 5.85 after 90 days |
| 2.01 | 90 days | 5.85 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Citizens to stay under $ 5.85 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Citizens probability density function shows the probability of Citizens Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Citizens price to stay between its current price of $ 2.01 and $ 5.85 at the end of the 90-day period is about 91.2 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Citizens has a beta of 0.81 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Citizens average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Citizens will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Citizens has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Citizens Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Citizens
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Citizens. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Citizens' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Citizens Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Citizens is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Citizens' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Citizens, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Citizens within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.45 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.81 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.34 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Citizens Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Citizens for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Citizens can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Citizens generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company has 9.07 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.03, which may show that the company is not taking advantage of profits from borrowing. Citizens has a current ratio of 0.58, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Citizens until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Citizens' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Citizens sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Citizens to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Citizens' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Footwears Second Half Hopes for Deal-Making |
Citizens Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Citizens Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Citizens' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Citizens' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 50.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.3 B |
Citizens Technical Analysis
Citizens' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Citizens Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Citizens. In general, you should focus on analyzing Citizens Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Citizens Predictive Forecast Models
Citizens' time-series forecasting models is one of many Citizens' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Citizens' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Citizens
Checking the ongoing alerts about Citizens for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Citizens help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Citizens generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company has 9.07 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.03, which may show that the company is not taking advantage of profits from borrowing. Citizens has a current ratio of 0.58, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Citizens until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Citizens' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Citizens sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Citizens to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Citizens' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Footwears Second Half Hopes for Deal-Making |
Check out Citizens Backtesting, Citizens Valuation, Citizens Correlation, Citizens Hype Analysis, Citizens Volatility, Citizens History as well as Citizens Performance. For information on how to trade Citizens Stock refer to our How to Trade Citizens Stock guide.You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
Complementary Tools for Citizens Stock analysis
When running Citizens' price analysis, check to measure Citizens' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Citizens is operating at the current time. Most of Citizens' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Citizens' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Citizens' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Citizens to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Citizens' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Citizens. If investors know Citizens will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Citizens listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.22) | Earnings Share 0.48 | Revenue Per Share 4.843 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) | Return On Assets 0.01 |
The market value of Citizens is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Citizens that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Citizens' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Citizens' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Citizens' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Citizens' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Citizens' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Citizens is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Citizens' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.