Clal Insurance (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4119.0

CLIS Stock  ILA 5,975  22.00  0.37%   
Clal Insurance's future price is the expected price of Clal Insurance instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Clal Insurance Enterprises performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Clal Insurance Backtesting, Clal Insurance Valuation, Clal Insurance Correlation, Clal Insurance Hype Analysis, Clal Insurance Volatility, Clal Insurance History as well as Clal Insurance Performance.
  
Please specify Clal Insurance's target price for which you would like Clal Insurance odds to be computed.

Clal Insurance Target Price Odds to finish over 4119.0

The tendency of Clal Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  4,119  in 90 days
 5,975 90 days 4,119 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Clal Insurance to stay above  4,119  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Clal Insurance Enterprises probability density function shows the probability of Clal Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Clal Insurance Enter price to stay between  4,119  and its current price of 5975.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 32.44 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Clal Insurance has a beta of 0.54 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Clal Insurance average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Clal Insurance Enterprises will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Clal Insurance Enterprises has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Clal Insurance Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Clal Insurance

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Clal Insurance Enter. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Clal Insurance's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5,9735,9755,977
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5,1965,1986,572
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Clal Insurance. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Clal Insurance's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Clal Insurance's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Clal Insurance Enter.

Clal Insurance Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Clal Insurance is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Clal Insurance's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Clal Insurance Enterprises, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Clal Insurance within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.02
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.54
σ
Overall volatility
437.27
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Clal Insurance Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Clal Insurance for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Clal Insurance Enter can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 20.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Clal Insurance Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Clal Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Clal Insurance's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Clal Insurance's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding74.1 M

Clal Insurance Technical Analysis

Clal Insurance's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Clal Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Clal Insurance Enterprises. In general, you should focus on analyzing Clal Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Clal Insurance Predictive Forecast Models

Clal Insurance's time-series forecasting models is one of many Clal Insurance's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Clal Insurance's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Clal Insurance Enter

Checking the ongoing alerts about Clal Insurance for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Clal Insurance Enter help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 20.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Complementary Tools for Clal Stock analysis

When running Clal Insurance's price analysis, check to measure Clal Insurance's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Clal Insurance is operating at the current time. Most of Clal Insurance's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Clal Insurance's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Clal Insurance's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Clal Insurance to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Clal Insurance's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Clal Insurance is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Clal Insurance's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.