CIM Commercial (Israel) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

CMCTP -- Israel Stock  

null 8,950  200.00  2.19%

CIM Commercial probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of CIM Commercial Trust Corporation performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify CIM Commercial time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like CIM Commercial odds to be computed. Check also Trending Equities.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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CIM Commercial Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 8,950 30 days 8,950  ABOUT 25.78%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of CIM Commercial to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 25.78% (This CIM Commercial Trust Corporation probability density function shows the probability of CIM Commercial Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, CIM Commercial has beta of 0.0294 . This suggests as returns on market go up, CIM Commercial average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding CIM Commercial Trust Corporation will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. CIM Commercial Trust is significantly underperforming DOW.
 CIM Commercial Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.06
β
Beta against DOW=0.0294
σ
Overall volatility
=4,268
Ir
Information ratio =0.06

CIM Commercial Alerts and Suggestions

CIM Commercial Trust is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
CIM Commercial Trust generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
CIM Commercial Trust has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company reported revenue of 197.72M. Net Loss for the year was (14.3M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 92.16M.

CIM CommercialPrice Density Drivers

Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.50
Float Shares4.35M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day654
Average Daily Volume In Three Month3.45k
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield0.01%
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