C Mer (Israel) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1,183
| CMER Stock | ILA 1,148 59.00 4.89% |
CMER |
C Mer Target Price Odds to finish below 1,183
The tendency of CMER Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 1,148 | 90 days | 1,148 | about 17.94 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of C Mer to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 17.94 (This C Mer Industries probability density function shows the probability of CMER Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon C Mer Industries has a beta of -1.5 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding C Mer Industries are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, C Mer is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally C Mer Industries has an alpha of 0.6634, implying that it can generate a 0.66 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). C Mer Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for C Mer
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as C Mer Industries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of C Mer's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
C Mer Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. C Mer is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the C Mer's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold C Mer Industries, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of C Mer within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.66 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -1.5 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 258.47 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
C Mer Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of C Mer for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for C Mer Industries can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| C Mer Industries generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| C Mer Industries has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 40.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
C Mer Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CMER Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential C Mer's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. C Mer's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13.8 M |
C Mer Technical Analysis
C Mer's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CMER Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of C Mer Industries. In general, you should focus on analyzing CMER Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
C Mer Predictive Forecast Models
C Mer's time-series forecasting models is one of many C Mer's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary C Mer's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about C Mer Industries
Checking the ongoing alerts about C Mer for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for C Mer Industries help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| C Mer Industries generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| C Mer Industries has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 40.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out C Mer Backtesting, C Mer Valuation, C Mer Correlation, C Mer Hype Analysis, C Mer Volatility, C Mer History as well as C Mer Performance. You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
Complementary Tools for CMER Stock analysis
When running C Mer's price analysis, check to measure C Mer's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy C Mer is operating at the current time. Most of C Mer's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of C Mer's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move C Mer's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of C Mer to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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