Cno Financial Group Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 17.87
| CNO Stock | USD 25.69 0.57 2.27% |
Closest to current price CNO long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
CNO |
CNO Financial Target Price Odds to finish below 17.87
The tendency of CNO Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 17.87 or more in 90 days |
| 25.69 | 90 days | 17.87 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CNO Financial to drop to $ 17.87 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This CNO Financial Group probability density function shows the probability of CNO Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CNO Financial Group price to stay between $ 17.87 and its current price of $25.69 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Considering the 90-day investment horizon CNO Financial has a beta of 0.97 suggesting CNO Financial Group market returns are highly reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, CNO Financial is expected to follow. Additionally CNO Financial Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. CNO Financial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for CNO Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CNO Financial Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CNO Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
CNO Financial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CNO Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CNO Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CNO Financial Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CNO Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.12 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.97 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.58 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
CNO Financial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CNO Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CNO Financial Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| CNO Financial Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 22nd of March 2024 CNO Financial paid $ 0.15 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Piper Sandler upgrades CNO Financial stock, says valuation appealing |
CNO Financial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CNO Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CNO Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CNO Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 115.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 21.6 B |
CNO Financial Technical Analysis
CNO Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CNO Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CNO Financial Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing CNO Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CNO Financial Predictive Forecast Models
CNO Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many CNO Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CNO Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about CNO Financial Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about CNO Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CNO Financial Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| CNO Financial Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 22nd of March 2024 CNO Financial paid $ 0.15 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Piper Sandler upgrades CNO Financial stock, says valuation appealing |
Check out CNO Financial Backtesting, CNO Financial Valuation, CNO Financial Correlation, CNO Financial Hype Analysis, CNO Financial Volatility, CNO Financial History as well as CNO Financial Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
Complementary Tools for CNO Stock analysis
When running CNO Financial's price analysis, check to measure CNO Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CNO Financial is operating at the current time. Most of CNO Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CNO Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CNO Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CNO Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is CNO Financial's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CNO Financial. If investors know CNO will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about CNO Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.04) | Dividend Share 0.59 | Earnings Share 2.4 | Revenue Per Share 36.608 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.202 |
The market value of CNO Financial Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CNO that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CNO Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CNO Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CNO Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CNO Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CNO Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CNO Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CNO Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.