Capital Point (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 43.9

CPTP Stock  ILA 54.90  0.90  1.67%   
Capital Point's future price is the expected price of Capital Point instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Capital Point performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Capital Point Backtesting, Capital Point Valuation, Capital Point Correlation, Capital Point Hype Analysis, Capital Point Volatility, Capital Point History as well as Capital Point Performance.
  
Please specify Capital Point's target price for which you would like Capital Point odds to be computed.

Capital Point Target Price Odds to finish over 43.9

The tendency of Capital Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  43.90  in 90 days
 54.90 90 days 43.90 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Capital Point to stay above  43.90  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Capital Point probability density function shows the probability of Capital Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Capital Point price to stay between  43.90  and its current price of 54.9 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Capital Point has a beta of 0.59 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Capital Point average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Capital Point will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Capital Point has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Capital Point Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Capital Point

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Capital Point. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Capital Point's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
53.4554.9056.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
49.6151.0660.39
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
53.3554.8056.25
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
53.7554.6055.45
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Capital Point. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Capital Point's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Capital Point's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Capital Point.

Capital Point Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Capital Point is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Capital Point's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Capital Point, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Capital Point within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.19
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.59
σ
Overall volatility
3.30
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Capital Point Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Capital Point for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Capital Point can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Capital Point generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Capital Point has accumulated about 72.98 M in cash with (10.96 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.61.
Roughly 81.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Capital Point Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Capital Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Capital Point's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Capital Point's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding126.2 M

Capital Point Technical Analysis

Capital Point's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Capital Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Capital Point. In general, you should focus on analyzing Capital Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Capital Point Predictive Forecast Models

Capital Point's time-series forecasting models is one of many Capital Point's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Capital Point's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Capital Point

Checking the ongoing alerts about Capital Point for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Capital Point help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Capital Point generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Capital Point has accumulated about 72.98 M in cash with (10.96 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.61.
Roughly 81.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Complementary Tools for Capital Stock analysis

When running Capital Point's price analysis, check to measure Capital Point's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Capital Point is operating at the current time. Most of Capital Point's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Capital Point's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Capital Point's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Capital Point to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Capital Point's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Capital Point is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Capital Point's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.